CD Nacional vs Porto: match statistics
Porto clearly dominates this encounter, occupying the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat. The visitors display phenomenal away form with 91% of away matches won, scoring an average of 2 goals per match while conceding just 0.36 goals. CD Nacional is in 13th place with a negative home record (30% wins, 50% losses) and concedes an average of 1.7 goals per match at home. The quality difference between both teams is huge – Porto has a +18 goal difference away from home, while Nacional has -1 at home. The xG stats (1.68 for Porto vs 1.34 for Nacional) and possession (57% vs 48%) further confirm the visitors' advantage. Considering all the data, a Porto victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
CD Nacional vs Porto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Nacional played Porto in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CD Nacional: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Porto: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Nacional scores 1.29 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Porto scores 2.00 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Nacional 62%, Porto 29%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 52%, Porto 52%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Porto has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.32. CD Nacional: 12.1 shots per match, Porto: 14.1.
Match halves
CD Nacional: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76. Porto: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
CD Nacional: 76-90+ (7 goals). Porto: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Porto clearly dominates this encounter, occupying the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat. The visitors display phenomenal away form with 91% of away matches won, scoring an average of 2 goals per match while conceding just 0.36 goals. CD Nacional is in 13th place with a negative home record (30% wins, 50% losses) and concedes an average of 1.7 goals per match at home. The quality difference between both teams is huge – Porto has a +18 goal difference away from home, while Nacional has -1 at home. The xG stats (1.68 for Porto vs 1.34 for Nacional) and possession (57% vs 48%) further confirm the visitors' advantage. Considering all the data, a Porto victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Porto is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - CD Nacional · 2 pts / match - Porto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Porto is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - CD Nacional · 2 goals / match - Porto
Porto is 333% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - CD Nacional · 0.33 goals / match - Porto
CD Nacional scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Porto keeps a clean sheet in 71% (15 of 21 matches).
Porto scores in 95% of matches (20 of 21 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Porto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Porto is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - CD Nacional · 2.1 pts / match - Porto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Porto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Nacional
Porto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Porto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 47% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Nacional 0 - 0 - 1 Porto. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Porto?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 0:1 Porto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Porto?
CD Nacional score 1.29 goals per game on average and Porto 2.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 62% of CD Nacional's matches and 29% of Porto's.
What form are CD Nacional and Porto in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Porto 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Porto?
The statistical background for CD Nacional vs Porto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.