CD Nacional vs Santa Clara: match statistics
Both teams are displaying very poor form this season, sitting next to each other in the table (14th and 13th) with an identical points tally. CD Nacional has the minimal advantage of playing at home but possesses an alarming home record – 71% losses and 0% draws, which paradoxically suggests a draw would be an atypical but possible result here. Santa Clara plays defensively in away matches (only 0.57 goals per match) but boasts a better draw percentage on the road (29%) and a slightly more solid defense (1.29 goals conceded vs 2.0 for the hosts). Both teams have an identical 0.8 points per match in their last 5 fixtures and a negative goal difference (-5), indicating a balanced level. Considering the weakness of both sides, the visitors' defensive style away from home, and the statistical possibility of a surprise, I predict a tight contest with a slight edge towards a draw scenario.
CD Nacional vs Santa Clara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Nacional play Santa Clara in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 11 January 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
CD Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Santa Clara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Nacional scores 1.09 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Santa Clara scores 0.94 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Nacional 47%, Santa Clara 41%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 41%, Santa Clara 35%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.25. CD Nacional: 12.6 shots per match, Santa Clara: 11.7.
Match halves
CD Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65. Santa Clara: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
CD Nacional: 61-75 (8 goals). Santa Clara: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Both teams are displaying very poor form this season, sitting next to each other in the table (14th and 13th) with an identical points tally. CD Nacional has the minimal advantage of playing at home but possesses an alarming home record – 71% losses and 0% draws, which paradoxically suggests a draw would be an atypical but possible result here. Santa Clara plays defensively in away matches (only 0.57 goals per match) but boasts a better draw percentage on the road (29%) and a slightly more solid defense (1.29 goals conceded vs 2.0 for the hosts). Both teams have an identical 0.8 points per match in their last 5 fixtures and a negative goal difference (-5), indicating a balanced level. Considering the weakness of both sides, the visitors' defensive style away from home, and the statistical possibility of a surprise, I predict a tight contest with a slight edge towards a draw scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Santa Clara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - CD Nacional · 0.94 goals / match - Santa Clara
Santa Clara is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1.21 goals / match - Santa Clara
CD Nacional scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Santa Clara scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD Nacional
Over / Under — Santa Clara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - CD Nacional · 0.97 pts / match - Santa Clara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Nacional
Santa Clara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 54% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Nacional 0 - 0 - 1 Santa Clara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Santa Clara?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 3:3 Santa Clara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Santa Clara?
CD Nacional score 1.09 goals per game on average and Santa Clara 0.94. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of CD Nacional's matches and 41% of Santa Clara's.
What form are CD Nacional and Santa Clara in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Santa Clara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Santa Clara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Santa Clara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.