CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this meeting, sitting in 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season. The hosts, CD Nacional, find themselves in 14th position with just 5 wins and a negative goal difference (-2) at their own stadium. Braga demonstrates an advantage in all key statistics: a higher average of goals scored away (1.92 vs 1.45), better efficiency (42% away wins vs 27% for the hosts at home), and dominance in possession (65% vs 48%). The form over the last 5 matches also speaks for the visitors - 2.0 points per match compared to just 0.8 for Nacional. Additionally, Braga has a higher xG indicator (1.66 vs 1.3) and rarely finishes matches without scoring (8% vs 36%), which confirms their offensive effectiveness.
CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Nacional played Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
CD Nacional: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sporting Braga: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Nacional scores 1.17 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 2.09 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Nacional 57%, Sporting Braga 48%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 52%, Sporting Braga 70%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.31. CD Nacional: 12.0 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 12.8.
Match halves
CD Nacional: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.70. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
CD Nacional: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sporting Braga: 16-30 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this meeting, sitting in 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season. The hosts, CD Nacional, find themselves in 14th position with just 5 wins and a negative goal difference (-2) at their own stadium. Braga demonstrates an advantage in all key statistics: a higher average of goals scored away (1.92 vs 1.45), better efficiency (42% away wins vs 27% for the hosts at home), and dominance in possession (65% vs 48%). The form over the last 5 matches also speaks for the visitors - 2.0 points per match compared to just 0.8 for Nacional. Additionally, Braga has a higher xG indicator (1.66 vs 1.3) and rarely finishes matches without scoring (8% vs 36%), which confirms their offensive effectiveness.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - CD Nacional · 2.4 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - CD Nacional · 2.09 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - CD Nacional · 0.96 goals / match - Sporting Braga
CD Nacional scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Sporting Braga scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1.74 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Nacional
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 96% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Nacional 1 - 0 - 0 Sporting Braga. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 1:2 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?
CD Nacional score 1.17 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 2.09. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CD Nacional's matches and 48% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are CD Nacional and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sporting Braga 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.