CD Tondela vs Alverca: match statistics
The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams from the bottom half of the table struggling with efficiency. CD Tondela presents catastrophic home form with a mere 10% win rate and 70% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Alverca shows slightly better form in the last five meetings (1.4 points per match versus 0.4 for Tondela), yet their away statistics are equally worrying – 70% losses and an average of 2.1 goals conceded per match. A key factor is Alverca's advantage in shot conversion (15% versus 5%) and a lower percentage of matches without scoring away (30% versus 70% for Tondela at home). Given the poor form of both teams, low average xG, and history of recent meetings, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one side, with Alverca's slight experience advantage potentially tipping the scales in their favor.
CD Tondela vs Alverca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Tondela played Alverca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
CD Tondela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Alverca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Tondela scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Alverca scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Tondela 33%, Alverca 48%. Over 2.5: CD Tondela 57%, Alverca 57%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
CD Tondela has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.09. CD Tondela: 10.3 shots per match, Alverca: 9.1.
Match halves
CD Tondela: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.38. Alverca: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
CD Tondela: 46-60 (4 goals). Alverca: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams from the bottom half of the table struggling with efficiency. CD Tondela presents catastrophic home form with a mere 10% win rate and 70% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Alverca shows slightly better form in the last five meetings (1.4 points per match versus 0.4 for Tondela), yet their away statistics are equally worrying – 70% losses and an average of 2.1 goals conceded per match. A key factor is Alverca's advantage in shot conversion (15% versus 5%) and a lower percentage of matches without scoring away (30% versus 70% for Tondela at home). Given the poor form of both teams, low average xG, and history of recent meetings, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one side, with Alverca's slight experience advantage potentially tipping the scales in their favor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Tondela | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alverca is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - CD Tondela · 1.4 pts / match - Alverca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alverca is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1 goals / match - Alverca
CD Tondela scores in 38% of matches (8 of 21 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Alverca scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Tondela
Over / Under - Alverca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alverca is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - CD Tondela · 0.95 pts / match - Alverca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Tondela
Alverca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Tondela | Liga | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.77 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 56% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Tondela 0 - 0 - 1 Alverca. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Tondela vs Alverca?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Tondela 1:1 Alverca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Tondela vs Alverca?
CD Tondela score 0.67 goals per game on average and Alverca 1.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 33% of CD Tondela's matches and 48% of Alverca's.
What form are CD Tondela and Alverca in?
Over the last 5 games CD Tondela have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Alverca 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Tondela vs Alverca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Tondela vs Alverca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.