Portugal - Liga NOSData current as of 23 July 2026

CD Tondela vs FC Arouca: match statistics

CD Tondela crest
CD Tondela
3 : 1half-time 2:1
FC Arouca crest
FC Arouca
135%(1.85)
X35%(3.55)
230%(4.00)

The fixture between CD Tondela and FC Arouca shapes up as a bottom-table clash between two sides grappling with serious issues. Tondela holds a disastrous home record with a 0% win rate and 71% loss rate, though FC Arouca also displays poor away form with just 14% of away matches won. Arouca boasts slightly better offensive efficiency (1 goal per away match vs 0.43 for Tondela at home) and superior shot conversion (12% vs 3%), handing them a slight edge. Both teams share similar average possession (44-45%) and high goals conceded rates, suggesting an open yet chaotic encounter. Considering the desperation of both squads and their balanced xG stats, a draw appears the most likely scenario, although the visitors' slight offensive advantage and Tondela's tragic home form give Arouca a chance to snatch a valuable three points.

CD Tondela vs FC Arouca: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CD Tondela play FC Arouca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 3 January 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

CD Tondela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. FC Arouca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

CD Tondela scores 0.79 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. FC Arouca scores 1.38 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CD Tondela 35%, FC Arouca 56%. Over 2.5: CD Tondela 50%, FC Arouca 68%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

FC Arouca has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.17. CD Tondela: 10.6 shots per match, FC Arouca: 10.7.

Match halves

CD Tondela: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.50. FC Arouca: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

CD Tondela: 0-15 (6 goals). FC Arouca: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

The fixture between CD Tondela and FC Arouca shapes up as a bottom-table clash between two sides grappling with serious issues. Tondela holds a disastrous home record with a 0% win rate and 71% loss rate, though FC Arouca also displays poor away form with just 14% of away matches won. Arouca boasts slightly better offensive efficiency (1 goal per away match vs 0.43 for Tondela at home) and superior shot conversion (12% vs 3%), handing them a slight edge. Both teams share similar average possession (44-45%) and high goals conceded rates, suggesting an open yet chaotic encounter. Considering the desperation of both squads and their balanced xG stats, a draw appears the most likely scenario, although the visitors' slight offensive advantage and Tondela's tragic home form give Arouca a chance to snatch a valuable three points.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

29Possession (%)71
CD TondelaFC Arouca
5Shots11
CD TondelaFC Arouca
3Shots on target4
CD TondelaFC Arouca
0.7xG1.42
CD TondelaFC Arouca
2Corners9
CD TondelaFC Arouca
23Dangerous attacks60
CD TondelaFC Arouca
12Fouls7
CD TondelaFC Arouca
3Cards1
CD TondelaFC Arouca

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CD TondelaFC Arouca
0.79Goals scored / match1.38
CD TondelaFC Arouca
1.62Goals conceded / match1.88
CD TondelaFC Arouca
44%Average possession50%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
3.41Shots on target / match3.59
CD TondelaFC Arouca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.59Shots per match10.71
CD TondelaFC Arouca
3.41Shots on target3.59
CD TondelaFC Arouca
7.5%Shot conversion12.9%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
44%Possession50%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
1.17xG for1.2
CD TondelaFC Arouca
1.55xG against1.45
CD TondelaFC Arouca

Shooting quality

CD Tondela: BalancedFC Arouca: Balanced
CD TondelaFC Arouca
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Arouca is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - CD Tondela · 2 pts / match - FC Arouca

CD Tondela
LDWWL
Season result split
18% W29% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-10-18
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-7-8
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
FC Arouca
WLDWW
Season result split
35% W18% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-16
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Arouca is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

0.79 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1.38 goals / match - FC Arouca

CD Tondela is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.62 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1.88 goals / match - FC Arouca

CD Tondela scoring profile: strong

CD Tondela scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

FC Arouca scoring profile: very strong

FC Arouca scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

27Goals scored (season)47
CD TondelaFC Arouca
55Goals conceded (season)64
CD TondelaFC Arouca
2.41Average goals in match3.26
CD TondelaFC Arouca
6Goals scored (last 5)10
CD TondelaFC Arouca
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
CD TondelaFC Arouca

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal74%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
29%2 goals38%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
3%3 goals26%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
0%4 goals0%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal79%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
53%2 goals56%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
24%3 goals29%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
3%4 goals15%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time24%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
9%BTTS in both halves6%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
18%Scored in both halves24%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
40%BTTS - last 580%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time26%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

FC Arouca is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - CD Tondela · 1.03 pts / match - FC Arouca

CD Tondela - half-time state
12% leading56% draw32% trailing
FC Arouca - half-time state
21% leading41% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)1.03
CD TondelaFC Arouca
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.53
CD TondelaFC Arouca
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.94
CD TondelaFC Arouca
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.47
CD TondelaFC Arouca
53%Clean sheet before half-time47%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
76%No goal before half-time59%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.26
CD TondelaFC Arouca
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
CD TondelaFC Arouca
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
CD TondelaFC Arouca
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.79
CD TondelaFC Arouca
35%Clean sheet after half-time35%
CD TondelaFC Arouca
59%No goal after half-time44%
CD TondelaFC Arouca

CD Tondela - second-half results

21% W32% R47% P
31
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-16
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Arouca - second-half results

32% W29% R38% P
35
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CD Tondela - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
FC Arouca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CD Tondela
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
2
9
16-30
2
9
31-45
6
6
46-60
6
12
61-75
5
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

FC Arouca
ScoredConceded
9
10
0-15
2
8
16-30
7
14
31-45
11
9
46-60
12
9
61-75
6
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CD Tondela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

FC Arouca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

CD TondelaLigaFC Arouca
Average goals in match 2.412.68 3.26
Both teams scored 35%48% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%54% 68%
Clean sheets 21%29% 21%
Goal before half-time 56%69% 71%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: CD Tondela 0 - 0 - 1 FC Arouca. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of CD Tondela vs FC Arouca?

The Liga NOS match finished CD Tondela 3:1 FC Arouca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before CD Tondela vs FC Arouca?

CD Tondela score 0.79 goals per game on average and FC Arouca 1.38. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 35% of CD Tondela's matches and 56% of FC Arouca's.

What form are CD Tondela and FC Arouca in?

Over the last 5 games CD Tondela have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and FC Arouca 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Tondela vs FC Arouca?

The statistical background for CD Tondela vs FC Arouca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.