CD Tondela vs Gil Vicente: match statistics
CD Tondela vs Gil Vicente: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Tondela played Gil Vicente in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
CD Tondela: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Gil Vicente: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Tondela scores 0.70 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Gil Vicente scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Tondela 33%, Gil Vicente 46%. Over 2.5: CD Tondela 52%, Gil Vicente 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Gil Vicente has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.15. CD Tondela: 10.4 shots per match, Gil Vicente: 14.0.
Match halves
CD Tondela: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.41. Gil Vicente: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
CD Tondela: 0-15 (5 goals). Gil Vicente: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Gil Vicente win (2): the visitors have a clear advantage in offense and quality of chances. Gil Vicente have scored 42 goals this season versus Tondela's 19, and in the last 5 matches they scored 8 goals with an average away xG of 1.44, while Tondela at home averages only 0.64 goals per game and xG 1.23. The visitors average 4.21 on-target shots and 13.07 total shots away with a conversion rate of 9%, whereas the hosts at home have 3.36 on-target and 11.36 total shots with a 6% conversion, indicating greater efficiency for Gil. Defensively Tondela concede an average of 1.21 goals at home and have xG against 1.62, while Gil Vicente concede 1.14 goals away and keep 36% clean sheets; additionally Tondela fail to score in 64% of home matches versus 29% for Gil, which increases the visitors' chances. Considering these numbers and the equal recent form (both averaging 1 point per game over the last 5), I assess the probability of a Gil Vicente win at around 60%, draw 25% and a Tondela win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I lean towards the “No” scenario – no BTTS, estimating 60% for 'No' and 40% for 'BTTS - Yes'. Home side CD Tondela keep a clean sheet in 43% of their matches this season, and the league clean-sheet rate is 59%, which reduces the likelihood of BTTS. In the last 5 matches Tondela had BTTS in only 20% and score on average 0.8 while conceding 1.6, whereas Gil Vicente in that period have BTTS 60% and score 1.6 on average – this shows visitors score more often, but hosts frequently finish matches with a clean sheet. Seasonal figures further indicate Tondela score 1.79 and concede 0.86, while Gil Vicente score 1.21 and concede 1.14, so the hosts’ defense on paper restricts opponents. Additionally xG 1.65 vs 1.44 and 5.0 shots on target with 12% conversion for the hosts versus 4.21 and 9% for the visitors suggest goals are more likely to be one-sided than mutual, hence an edge to the 'No' option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows xG 1.65 for Tondela and 1.44 for Gil Vicente; from these values the forecast is 1.40 goals for the home side and 1.30 for the away side, total 2.70 (close to the league average 2.71). Seasonally Tondela scores 1.79 goals at home and has 86% of matches over 1.5, while Gil averages 1.21 away with 71% such games — a strong signal for at least 2 goals. Tondela averages 5.0 shots on target versus Gil’s 4.21, and both teams have 50% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, which explains why Over 2.5 is nearly evens. A Poisson model with combined lambda=2.70 gives roughly a 75% chance for Over 1.5, about 51% for Over 2.5 and about 29% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest and safest recommendation is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Gil Vicente led at the break in 60% of games, while Tondela were leading at half-time in just 20% of those five matches, and on the season the visitors lead at the break in 50% of their away games. Tondela are, however, very strong after the break: they average 1.07 goals in the second half and collect 1.86 points in second halves, winning second halves in 50% of cases. The hosts also have a higher xG of 1.65 versus the visitors’ 1.44 and a higher shot conversion rate of 12% versus 9%, which increases their chance of a turnaround. Additionally, Tondela have scored as many as 9 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 1 goal for the visitors, which highlights the risk of Gil Vicente losing their lead late on; therefore the most likely and strongest signal is the visitors leading at half-time with the hosts winning after the break (HT/FT 2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Tondela | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gil Vicente is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1.5 goals / match - Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1 goals / match - Gil Vicente
CD Tondela scores in 41% of matches (11 of 27 matches), while Gil Vicente keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
Gil Vicente scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Tondela
Over / Under - Gil Vicente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gil Vicente is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - CD Tondela · 1.64 pts / match - Gil Vicente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gil Vicente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Tondela
Gil Vicente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Tondela | Liga | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 47% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Tondela 1 - 0 - 0 Gil Vicente. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Tondela vs Gil Vicente?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Tondela 2:2 Gil Vicente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Tondela vs Gil Vicente?
CD Tondela score 0.70 goals per game on average and Gil Vicente 1.50. The Liga NOS average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 33% of CD Tondela's matches and 46% of Gil Vicente's.
What form are CD Tondela and Gil Vicente in?
Over the last 5 games CD Tondela have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gil Vicente 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Tondela vs Gil Vicente?
The statistical background for CD Tondela vs Gil Vicente — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.