CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this match. The hosts CD Tondela are in 17th place in the table with a disastrous home record: only 13% home wins, 63% losses, and as many as 63% of matches without scoring a goal. Their form is very poor - in the last 5 matches they have averaged only 0.6 points per game. Sporting Braga demonstrates significantly higher quality: they average 1.89 goals per away game, have 66% ball possession, and a shot conversion rate of 13%. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.76 vs 1.31) and goal difference (+6 vs -6) clearly favor the visitors. Despite Braga's slightly worse recent form (1 point per game in the last 5 matches), their qualitative superiority over one of the weakest teams in the league should result in an away win.
CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Tondela played Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CD Tondela: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Sporting Braga: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Tondela scores 0.71 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 1.82 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Tondela 35%, Sporting Braga 53%. Over 2.5: CD Tondela 59%, Sporting Braga 65%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.25. CD Tondela: 11.5 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 13.2.
Match halves
CD Tondela: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.47. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
CD Tondela: 46-60 (4 goals). Sporting Braga: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this match. The hosts CD Tondela are in 17th place in the table with a disastrous home record: only 13% home wins, 63% losses, and as many as 63% of matches without scoring a goal. Their form is very poor - in the last 5 matches they have averaged only 0.6 points per game. Sporting Braga demonstrates significantly higher quality: they average 1.89 goals per away game, have 66% ball possession, and a shot conversion rate of 13%. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.76 vs 1.31) and goal difference (+6 vs -6) clearly favor the visitors. Despite Braga's slightly worse recent form (1 point per game in the last 5 matches), their qualitative superiority over one of the weakest teams in the league should result in an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Tondela | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - CD Tondela · 1.6 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 156% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1.82 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - CD Tondela · 1.06 goals / match - Sporting Braga
CD Tondela scores in 41% of matches (7 of 17 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Sporting Braga scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Tondela
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - CD Tondela · 1.41 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Tondela
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Tondela | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.70 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Tondela 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting Braga. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Tondela 0:1 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga?
CD Tondela score 0.71 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.82. The Liga NOS average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 35% of CD Tondela's matches and 53% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are CD Tondela and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games CD Tondela have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sporting Braga 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Tondela vs Sporting Braga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.