Portugal - Liga 3Data current as of 12 September 2026

CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09: match statistics

CD Trofense crest
CD Trofense
0 : 1half-time 0:0
AD Marco 09 crest
AD Marco 09
165%(1.55)
X25%(3.40)
210%(5.60)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.58.83
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.0.75%

CD Trofense clearly outperforms AD Marco 09 in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts achieve a 38% win rate at home with an average of 1.38 goals per match, while the visitors have not won any away match this season (0% Win%). AD Marco's form shows a series of eight matches without a win away from home, with 63% losses and only 0.5 goals scored on average per away match. Trofense displays solid form in their last five matches (2 PPG) and a positive goal difference of +4 at home. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away from home (63% FTS%), which, combined with the hosts' decent defense (0.88 goals conceded on average at home), gives CD Trofense a clear advantage. All indicators, including xG (1.33 vs 1.39), possession (54% vs 47%), and efficiency, point to a certain victory for the hosts.

See full settlement in the app

CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CD Trofense played AD Marco 09 in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

CD Trofense: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. AD Marco 09: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

CD Trofense scores 1.38 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. AD Marco 09 scores 0.81 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CD Trofense 56%, AD Marco 09 50%. Over 2.5: CD Trofense 38%, AD Marco 09 44%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

AD Marco 09 has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.18. CD Trofense: 7.9 shots per match, AD Marco 09: 10.3.

Match halves

CD Trofense: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63. AD Marco 09: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.31.

Goals by minute

CD Trofense: 16-30 (5 goals). AD Marco 09: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 3: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CD Trofense clearly outperforms AD Marco 09 in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts achieve a 38% win rate at home with an average of 1.38 goals per match, while the visitors have not won any away match this season (0% Win%). AD Marco's form shows a series of eight matches without a win away from home, with 63% losses and only 0.5 goals scored on average per away match. Trofense displays solid form in their last five matches (2 PPG) and a positive goal difference of +4 at home. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away from home (63% FTS%), which, combined with the hosts' decent defense (0.88 goals conceded on average at home), gives CD Trofense a clear advantage. All indicators, including xG (1.33 vs 1.39), possession (54% vs 47%), and efficiency, point to a certain victory for the hosts.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
7Shots19
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
3Shots on target5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.14xG2.07
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
5Corners5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
66Dangerous attacks72
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13Fouls10
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
2Cards4
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.69Points per matchPPG - points per game.1
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.38Goals scored / match0.81
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.81Goals conceded / match1.19
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.18xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.34
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%Average possession48%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
3.31Shots on target / match4.44
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
31%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.31%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
56%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.50%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.94Shots per match10.25
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
3.31Shots on target4.44
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
17.3%Shot conversion7.9%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%Possession48%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.18xG for1.34
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.18xG against1.4
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Shooting quality

CD Trofense: Efficient finishingAD Marco 09: Balanced
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
Accuracy (shots on target)42%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CD Trofense is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - CD Trofense · 0.8 pts / match - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense
DWWLW
Season result split
44% W38% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-3
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
AD Marco 09
DLWLL
Season result split
19% W44% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-5
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CD Trofense is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - CD Trofense · 0.81 goals / match - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - CD Trofense · 1.19 goals / match - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense scoring profile: strong

CD Trofense scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

AD Marco 09 scoring profile: strong

AD Marco 09 scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

22Goals scored (season)13
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13Goals conceded (season)19
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
2.19Average goals in match2
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
7Goals scored (last 5)6
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
CD Trofense
31%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 16 matches
31%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 16 matches
AD Marco 09
31%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 16 matches
44%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.7 of 16 matches

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal56%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
38%2 goals25%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%3 goals0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%4 goals0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal69%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%2 goals38%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0%3 goals13%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0%4 goals0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
CD Trofense - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 16 matches
50%
AD Marco 09 - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 16 matches
45%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time19%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
6%BTTS in both halves6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
25%Scored in both halves13%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
40%BTTS - last 580%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

81%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.75%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
63%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
38%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.44%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.13%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Over / Under - CD Trofense

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 81%Under 19%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 38%Under 62%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%

Over / Under - AD Marco 09

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 75%Under 25%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 44%Under 56%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 6%Under 94%

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

2nd half

56%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CD Trofense is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - CD Trofense · 1.31 pts / match - AD Marco 09

CD Trofense - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
AD Marco 09 - half-time state
25% leading56% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.31
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
1.25Average goals (1st half)1
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
50%No goal before half-time56%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)0.81
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
0.94Average goals (2nd half)1
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
69%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09
56%No goal after half-time75%
CD TrofenseAD Marco 09

CD Trofense - second-half results

31% W56% D13% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AD Marco 09 - second-half results

13% W44% D44% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CD Trofense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
AD Marco 09 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CD Trofense
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

AD Marco 09
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.09
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CD Trofense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

AD Marco 09

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

CD TrofenseLigaAD Marco 09
Average goals in match• 2.192.13▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 56%45%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 38%35%▲ 44%
Clean sheets▼ 31%34%▼ 31%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%62%• 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 56%73%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.13
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
0.95
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AD Marco 09Yellow cardValentim Ferreira de Sousa
  2. AD Marco 09GoalPedro Augusto Ferreira SoaresAssist: Diogo Oliveira Silva
  3. AD Marco 09SubstitutionOn: Erivaldo Jorge Paulo FerreiraOff: Valentim Ferreira de Sousa
  4. CD TrofenseSubstitutionOn: Khalid HachadiOff: Welisson Costa Santos
  5. CD TrofenseSubstitutionOn: Joel António Soares FerreiraOff: Eduardo Duarte
  6. AD Marco 09Yellow cardPedro Augusto Ferreira Soares
  7. CD TrofenseSubstitutionOn: Rodrigo Manuel Ferreira GranjaOff: Nuno Filipe Ribeiro Teixeira
  8. CD TrofenseYellow cardJoão Daniel Cruz Seabra Santos
  9. CD TrofenseYellow cardGonçalo Ferreira da Cunha
  10. AD Marco 09Red cardDaniel Jesus Moreira Carvalho
  11. AD Marco 09SubstitutionOn: José Pedro Nogueira CoutoOff: Tiago Manuel Maio Matos
  12. AD Marco 09SubstitutionOn: Bruno Miguel Martins GuimarãesOff: Mauro Azevedo Ribeiro

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeDiogo Torres Coelho

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Diogo Torres CoelhoMatches officiated: 9
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 211%Home wins22%Draws67%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: CD Trofense 0 - 1 - 0 AD Marco 09. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Associação Desportiva de Marco de Canaveses 09
1 : 1
CD Trofense

FAQ

What was the result of CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

The Liga 3 match finished CD Trofense 0:1 AD Marco 09. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

CD Trofense score 1.38 goals per game on average and AD Marco 09 0.81. The Liga 3 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 56% of CD Trofense's matches and 50% of AD Marco 09's.

What form are CD Trofense and AD Marco 09 in?

Over the last 5 games CD Trofense have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and AD Marco 09 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.