CD Trofense vs Vitória Guimarães II: match statistics
CD Trofense displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 29% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.57 goals per match. The hosts hold an advantage in possession (53% vs 49%) and superior shot conversion (16% vs 11%). Vitória Guimarães II is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (57%), making this a realistic scenario; however, their offense is weaker with only 0.86 goals per away game. The goal difference (+5 for hosts vs +2 for guests in respective contexts) and Trofense's better form over the last 5 matches (1.6 PPG) favor the home side. Considering all statistics, I expect a competitive match with a slight edge for the hosts, who possess better offensive and defensive metrics in home games.
CD Trofense vs Vitória Guimarães II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Trofense played Vitória Guimarães II in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CD Trofense: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Vitória Guimarães II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Trofense scores 1.29 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães II scores 1.00 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Trofense 57%, Vitória Guimarães II 43%. Over 2.5: CD Trofense 36%, Vitória Guimarães II 29%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães II has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.22. CD Trofense: 8.4 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães II: 10.6.
Match halves
CD Trofense: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.57. Vitória Guimarães II: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
CD Trofense: 16-30 (5 goals). Vitória Guimarães II: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Trofense displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 29% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.57 goals per match. The hosts hold an advantage in possession (53% vs 49%) and superior shot conversion (16% vs 11%). Vitória Guimarães II is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (57%), making this a realistic scenario; however, their offense is weaker with only 0.86 goals per away game. The goal difference (+5 for hosts vs +2 for guests in respective contexts) and Trofense's better form over the last 5 matches (1.6 PPG) favor the home side. Considering all statistics, I expect a competitive match with a slight edge for the hosts, who possess better offensive and defensive metrics in home games.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Trofense | Vitória Guimarães II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória Guimarães II is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - CD Trofense · 2 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Trofense is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - CD Trofense · 1 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II
CD Trofense is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - CD Trofense · 0.86 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II
CD Trofense scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Vitória Guimarães II keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
Vitória Guimarães II scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Trofense
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Trofense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória Guimarães II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Trofense
Vitória Guimarães II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Trofense | Liga | Vitória Guimarães II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.14 | ▼ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 36% | 35% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Trofense 1 - 0 - 0 Vitória Guimarães II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Trofense vs Vitória Guimarães II?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Trofense 0:1 Vitória Guimarães II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Trofense vs Vitória Guimarães II?
CD Trofense score 1.29 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães II 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CD Trofense's matches and 43% of Vitória Guimarães II's.
What form are CD Trofense and Vitória Guimarães II in?
Over the last 5 games CD Trofense have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Trofense vs Vitória Guimarães II?
The statistical background for CD Trofense vs Vitória Guimarães II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.