Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 13 September 2026

CDS Tampico Madero vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics

165%(1.36)
X22%(4.33)
213%(6.50)

CDS Tampico Madero demonstrates a clear advantage in home matches with an impressive win rate of 77% and a positive goal difference of +12. The hosts score an average of 1.85 goals per home game, while conceding only 0.92 goals, which indicates a solid defense. Correcaminos UAT performs significantly worse on the road, winning only 18% of matches and conceding an average of 2.09 goals per game, with a negative goal difference of -13. The difference in quality of play, offensive and defensive efficiency, and the home advantage clearly point to their victory. Although the visitors have shown improved form in their last five matches, their poor away results and xG statistics (0.96 vs 2.03) provide no grounds for optimism when facing such a strong opponent at home.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CDS Tampico Madero played Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 19 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

CDS Tampico Madero: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.36 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.09 and concedes 2.09. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CDS Tampico Madero 54%, Correcaminos UAT 65%. Over 2.5: CDS Tampico Madero 43%, Correcaminos UAT 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

CDS Tampico Madero has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.12. CDS Tampico Madero: 12.3 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 8.6.

Match halves

CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.75. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

CDS Tampico Madero: 16-30 (9 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CDS Tampico Madero demonstrates a clear advantage in home matches with an impressive win rate of 77% and a positive goal difference of +12. The hosts score an average of 1.85 goals per home game, while conceding only 0.92 goals, which indicates a solid defense. Correcaminos UAT performs significantly worse on the road, winning only 18% of matches and conceding an average of 2.09 goals per game, with a negative goal difference of -13. The difference in quality of play, offensive and defensive efficiency, and the home advantage clearly point to their victory. Although the visitors have shown improved form in their last five matches, their poor away results and xG statistics (0.96 vs 2.03) provide no grounds for optimism when facing such a strong opponent at home.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
12Shots10
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
6Shots on target3
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1.52xG1.06
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
8Corners2
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
47Dangerous attacks29
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
9Fouls11
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1Cards4
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1.36Goals scored / match1.09
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1Goals conceded / match2.09
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
53%Average possession42%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
3.93Shots on target / match3.22
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.25Shots per match8.61
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
3.93Shots on target3.22
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
11.1%Shot conversion12.6%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
53%Possession42%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1.37xG for1.12
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1.32xG against1.82
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

Shooting quality

CDS Tampico Madero: BalancedCorrecaminos UAT: Counter-attacking
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
Accuracy (shots on target)32%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Correcaminos UAT is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.6 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

CDS Tampico Madero
LLWWL
Season result split
54% W25% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-7-6
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Correcaminos UAT
LDDWW
Season result split
22% W30% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-11
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CDS Tampico Madero is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.09 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT

CDS Tampico Madero is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 2.09 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT

CDS Tampico Madero scoring profile: very strong

CDS Tampico Madero scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).

Correcaminos UAT scoring profile: very strong

Correcaminos UAT scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

38Goals scored (season)25
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
28Goals conceded (season)48
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
2.36Average goals in match3.17
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
5Goals scored (last 5)7
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal78%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
39%2 goals26%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
18%3 goals4%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
4%4 goals0%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal83%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
21%2 goals57%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
7%3 goals30%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
4%4 goals22%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
CDS Tampico Madero - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 28 matches
65%
Correcaminos UAT - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 23 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time22%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
7%BTTS in both halves4%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
36%Scored in both halves9%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
40%BTTS - last 580%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CDS Tampico Madero is 152% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.54 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 0.61 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

CDS Tampico Madero - half-time state
39% leading36% draw25% trailing
Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
9% leading35% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.54Points per match (1st half)0.61
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.35
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)1.09
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.43
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
57%Clean sheet before half-time30%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
54%No goal before half-time70%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)1.26
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)1
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.74
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
57%Clean sheet after half-time35%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT
36%No goal after half-time43%
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UAT

CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results

39% W39% D21% L
43
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

35% W22% D43% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding244%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CDS Tampico Madero - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Correcaminos UAT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CDS Tampico Madero
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
9
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
9
6
46-60
4
5
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
13
31-45
5
5
46-60
2
5
61-75
10
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CDS Tampico Madero

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CDS Tampico MaderoLigaCorrecaminos UAT
Average goals in match 2.362.91 3.17
Both teams scored 54%55% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%53% 61%
Clean sheets 32%26% 17%
Goal before half-time 71%74% 78%
Goal after half-time 75%79% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.72
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Correcaminos UATSubstitutionOn: Daniel Yair Delgadillo PulidoOff: Tomás David Sandoval
  2. Correcaminos UATYellow cardAndrés Didyer Catalán Guemes
  3. Correcaminos UATGoalNahum Gómez Del RosalAssist: Gerardo Moreno Cruz
  4. Correcaminos UATYellow cardAlan Leonel Di Pippa
  5. CDS Tampico MaderoYellow cardDenis Joel Martínez
  6. Correcaminos UATSubstitutionOn: Daniel Cisneros GonzálezOff: César Sosa Heredia
  7. CDS Tampico MaderoSubstitutionOn: Deivoon MagañaOff: Denis Joel Martínez
  8. Correcaminos UATYellow cardJosé Ricardo Galindo Gutiérrez
  9. CDS Tampico MaderoGoalDiego García Ibarra
  10. Correcaminos UATYellow cardGerardo Moreno Cruz

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Aldo Ballesteros BarbaMatches officiated: 14
5.36Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins28%Draws28%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: CDS Tampico Madero 1 - 0 - 0 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Correcaminos UAT
1 : 2
Club Deportivo y Social Tampico Madero

FAQ

What was the result of CDS Tampico Madero vs Correcaminos UAT?

The Ascenso MX match finished CDS Tampico Madero 3:1 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before CDS Tampico Madero vs Correcaminos UAT?

CDS Tampico Madero score 1.36 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.09. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 54% of CDS Tampico Madero's matches and 65% of Correcaminos UAT's.

What form are CDS Tampico Madero and Correcaminos UAT in?

Over the last 5 games CDS Tampico Madero have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CDS Tampico Madero vs Correcaminos UAT?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CDS Tampico Madero vs Correcaminos UAT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.