CDS Tampico Madero vs Morelia: match statistics
CDS Tampico Madero vs Morelia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CDS Tampico Madero play Morelia in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
CDS Tampico Madero: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Morelia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.38 and concedes 0.98 goals per match. Morelia scores 1.29 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CDS Tampico Madero 57%, Morelia 41%. Over 2.5: CDS Tampico Madero 43%, Morelia 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.32. CDS Tampico Madero: 11.6 shots per match, Morelia: 13.0.
Match halves
CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79. Morelia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
CDS Tampico Madero: 46-60 (15 goals). Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). CDS Tampico Madero win 69% of home matches and average 1.75 goals while conceding only 0.88 per game, providing clear defensive strengths and efficiency in front of their crowd. This season the home side have 17 wins and a goal difference of 45:32, whereas Morelia have 13 wins and a 42:35 record; away, Morelia average just 1.2 goals and concede 1.53 per match. Tampico produce 14.38 shots and 4.31 on target at home with an xG of 1.5, while Morelia on the road record 10.33 shots, 4.13 on target and xG 1.3, indicating a home advantage both in quantity and quality of chances. Defensively the gap is significant — hosts allow 0.94 xG against at home versus 1.6 xG conceded by Morelia away, and the difference in goal balance (+14 for the hosts vs -5 for the visitors) supports Tampico being favored, despite both teams averaging 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CDS Tampico Madero | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CDS Tampico Madero is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 0.8 pts / match - Morelia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CDS Tampico Madero is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.29 goals / match - Morelia
CDS Tampico Madero is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.98 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.15 goals / match - Morelia
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 76% of matches (32 of 42 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CDS Tampico Madero
Over / Under — Morelia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CDS Tampico Madero
Morelia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CDS Tampico Madero | Liga | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CDS Tampico Madero 0 - 1 - 0 Morelia. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CDS Tampico Madero vs Morelia?
The Ascenso MX match finished CDS Tampico Madero 1:0 Morelia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CDS Tampico Madero vs Morelia?
CDS Tampico Madero score 1.38 goals per game on average and Morelia 1.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CDS Tampico Madero's matches and 41% of Morelia's.
What form are CDS Tampico Madero and Morelia in?
Over the last 5 games CDS Tampico Madero have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Morelia 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CDS Tampico Madero vs Morelia?
The statistical background for CDS Tampico Madero vs Morelia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.