CE Sabadell FC vs Córdoba: match statistics

CE Sabadell FC remain unbeaten in their last 5 matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while Córdoba have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The hosts won their only home match so far, kept a clean sheet and concede an average of 0 goals, contrasting with the 3 goals Córdoba concede on average away from home. Córdoba do create more in attack, with an average xG of 2.27 and 8 shots on target per match, but their defence lacks stability: they have yet to keep a clean sheet and have a 100% loss rate in away matches. Sabadell generate 1.52 xG at home while allowing opponents just 1.14 xG, so home advantage and superior defensive organisation favour the hosts. However, the visitors’ efficiency, with an average of 2 goals scored away from home, increases the risk of a closely contested match.

The BTTS - No pick is slightly stronger, as Sabadell have conceded just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game, while both teams scored in only 20% of those fixtures. Córdoba have shown clear attacking potential, averaging 8 shots on target and recording an xG of 1.63 across their last five matches, but they will face a team currently boasting a very stable defense. The hosts should have good opportunities to score, as Córdoba have recently conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, with 12 goals conceded in 5 fixtures. The seasonal record of 100% of matches featuring goals from both teams for each side is a strong argument for BTTS - Yes, but it conflicts with Sabadell’s current defensive form and the league-wide BTTS average of just 42%. The most likely outcome therefore remains one in which at least one team fails to score—not necessarily a 0:0 draw—primarily due to Sabadell’s chance of keeping a clean sheet.

The signal for at least two goals is strong, as both teams have gone over the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches in the sample. Córdoba have created significantly more chances, with average xG of 2.27 and 8 shots on target, compared with Sabadell’s 1.35 xG and 3 shots on target. However, the visitors have conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match recently, so the hosts should have a genuine opportunity to score despite conceding just 0.2 goals per game across their last five appearances. The combined projection of 2.90 goals is above the league average of 2.36, and both teams have scored in every match in the analysed sample. The safest edge is Over 1.5, as it requires only two goals, while the Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 lines are more vulnerable to an improvement in Sabadell’s defensive performance.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Sabadell win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches and did not concede a single first-half goal during this period. Córdoba also started cautiously in 60% of their last five games, although their first halves were considerably more open, averaging 1.8 goals compared with just 0.2 in Sabadell’s matches. After the break, the hosts scored an average of 1.0 goal and conceded only 0.2, while Córdoba allowed their opponents an average of 1.8 goals. The full-time results also favour Sabadell: the team are unbeaten in five matches, recording two wins and three draws, whereas Córdoba have lost three of their last five games. The visitors create plenty of chances, as indicated by an xG of 2.27 and an average of eight shots on target, but their average of 2.4 goals conceded in their last five matches clearly increases the hosts’ chances of securing a turnaround after half-time.