Ceará vs Atlético GO: match statistics
Ceará vs Atlético GO: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ceará played Atlético GO in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ceará: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético GO: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ceará scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Atlético GO scores 1.00 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ceará 43%, Atlético GO 71%. Over 2.5: Ceará 14%, Atlético GO 57%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Ceará: 11.9 shots per match, Atlético GO: 12.7.
Match halves
Ceará: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Atlético GO: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Ceará: 0-15 (2 goals). Atlético GO: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (Ceará) because they average 1.67 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.57, while Atlético GO average only 0.67 goals and xG 1.03 away. Ceará averages 13 shots and 5.33 on target at home with a conversion rate of 13%, whereas Atlético GO register 9.67 shots, 2.33 on target and ~7% conversion away, indicating lower attacking efficiency from the visitors. Defensively both concede 1.33 goals per game on average, but Atlético GO have a higher away xG against (1.72 vs 1.18 for Ceará) and have kept 0% clean sheets away compared to 33% for Ceará. Forms are mixed — Ceará collect 0.8 points per game over the last 5 overall with a sequence 'ldwll', but are unbeaten in domestic form stats at home ('dwd' in recent home outings), while Atlético GO average 1.8 points in their last 5 but have not won away yet (0% wins) and carry a negative away goal difference (-2). Considering the superiority in quality of chances (1.67 vs 0.67 goals, 1.57 vs 1.03 xG, 5.33 vs 2.33 shots on target) and the visitors' inability to win on the road, I assess Ceará's win probability at 65%, draw 20% and Atlético GO win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a strong BTTS signal: Ceará has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75%, Atlético GO 67%, and in the last 5 matches both teams show BTTS at 60%, while the league average is 51%. Ceará generates on average 1.64 xG and 4.75 shots on target per match with a seasonal goals average of 1.25 (8 goals scored), whereas Atlético GO seasonally concedes xG of 1.72 and lets in 1.33 goals per match, which favors a home goal. Conversely, Atlético GO in the last 5 matches has xG for 1.47 and scored 5 goals (1.0 avg), and Ceará in this period concedes 1.8 goals on average (9 conceded), so the away side also has realistic scoring chances. Additionally, Atlético GO has kept 0 clean sheets this season (0% CS), and Ceará only 25% CS, which increases the likelihood that both sides will score. On this basis I assess BTTS 'Yes' probability at 72% versus 28% 'No' and recommend a bet on 'Yes' as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG model projects 2.64 goals in the match (1.68 for Ceará vs 0.96 for Atlético GO), calculated as the average of home attack xG 1.64 and away defense xG 1.72 and vice versa (away attack xG 1.03 vs home defense xG 0.88). With a mean of 2.64, a Poisson distribution implies roughly a 74% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 49% for 3+ goals (Over 2.5) and about 27% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Ceará averages 15.0 shots and 4.75 shots on target with an 8% conversion rate, while Atlético GO averages 9.67 shots and 2.33 shots on target with a 7% conversion, favoring the home side for chance creation. Season stats confirm aggressive match profiles: Ceará has 75% of home games with over 1.5 goals, Atlético GO has 67% of away games over 1.5, and both teams record BTTS at 75% and 67% respectively. Therefore the strongest signal is backing Over 1.5 (pick: Over, line 1.5), while Over 2.5 is less certain (~49%) and Over 3.5 is too risky (~27%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The primary signal is the home team leading at half-time and holding the win (1/1): the hosts led at the break in 3 of 4 home matches (75%) and on average do not concede in the first half (0.0 goals to half-time). They also have a clear offensive edge: home xG 1.64 vs away 1.03 and an average of 4.75 shots on target at home compared to 2.33 for visitors, which supports maintaining the lead. At the same time the hosts concede an average of 1.0 goal after the break and on their ground both teams have scored in 75% of matches, so some half-time leads can be overturned; therefore I assign a 19% chance to 1/X and 10% to 1/2. A half-time draw occurs in 25% of home fixtures, and given that at home the hosts win 50% and draw 25% of matches, I allocate 13% to X/X and 8% to X/1; the visitors leading at half-time practically does not occur (0% in the hosts’ matches), so scenarios starting with '2' I price at 1% or less.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ceará | Atlético GO | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ceará is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Ceará · 1 goals / match - Atlético GO
Ceará is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Ceará · 1.14 goals / match - Atlético GO
Ceará scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Atlético GO keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Atlético GO scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ceará
Over / Under - Atlético GO
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético GO is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Ceará · 2 pts / match - Atlético GO
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético GO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ceará
Atlético GO
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ceará | Liga | Atlético GO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.14 | 2.21 | • 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 42% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 58% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceará vs Atlético GO?
The Serie B match finished Ceará 0:1 Atlético GO. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Atlético GO?
Ceará score 1.14 goals per game on average and Atlético GO 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ceará's matches and 71% of Atlético GO's.
What form are Ceará and Atlético GO in?
Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético GO 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Atlético GO?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ceará vs Atlético GO: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.