Ceará vs Criciúma: match statistics
Ceará vs Criciúma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ceará played Criciúma in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ceará: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Criciúma: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ceará scores 1.10 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Criciúma scores 1.06 and concedes 0.87. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ceará 55%, Criciúma 35%. Over 2.5: Ceará 39%, Criciúma 23%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Ceará: 13.8 shots per match, Criciúma: 14.3.
Match halves
Ceará: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.74. Criciúma: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Ceará: 76-90+ (10 goals). Criciúma: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Criciúma sit 5th and Ceará 15th, the home and away stats give the hosts a slight edge. Ceará win 47% of their home games and score an average of 1.27 goals, while Criciúma win 40% of their away games and average 1 goal. The hosts also create more chances: their average home xG is 1.66, compared with 1.30 for the visitors away from home, while both teams concede an average of 1.13 goals in these conditions. In their last five matches, Ceará have collected 8 points and conceded 6 goals, while Criciúma have taken 6 points and conceded 8. The visitors’ stronger overall season record calls for caution, but Ceará’s edge in chance creation and recent form tips the prediction slightly in their favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal that at least one team will fail to score is Ceará’s defensive record at home: they concede an average of 0.63 goals and keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches. Criciúma score an average of 1.00 goals away from home, and both teams have not scored in any of their last 5 matches. Ceará’s home matches have seen both teams score in just 25% of cases, compared with 47% of Criciúma’s away matches. The main risk to this pick is Ceará’s recent run, in which both sides scored in 80% of matches, and Criciúma’s xG of 1.76 over their last 5 games. Even so, the hosts’ season results and effective home defense support the BTTS - No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 94% of Ceará's home matches and 87% of Criciúma's away games. The hosts concede an average of just 0.63 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches, limiting the visitors' scoring potential. Ceará average 1.13 goals at home, while Criciúma average 1.00 away; the league average of 2.34 goals also points against a high-scoring game. Ceará's last five matches have been more open, averaging 2.6 goals, with three games going Over 2.5, so I remain cautious about taking the lower line. A projected total of 2.05 goals gives the strongest edge to Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Ceará have not led at the break in any of their last five matches, while Criciúma were level at half-time in three of their five and failed to score in the first half in those games. Over the full season, the hosts led at the break in 50% of their matches, so an early lead remains a realistic alternative, but their recent results weaken that signal. Ceará’s case for victory is supported by an average xG of 1.73 compared with 1.30 for the visitors, and a win rate of 56% versus 40%. The second half is particularly significant: in their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals after the break and won the second half in 80% of games, while Criciúma conceded an average of 1.0 goals. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by a Ceará win has the strongest support, combining current form with the hosts’ season-long advantage.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ceará | Criciúma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceará is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Ceará · 1.2 pts / match - Criciúma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Criciúma is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Ceará · 0.87 goals / match - Criciúma
Ceará scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Criciúma keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 matches).
Criciúma scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ceará
Over / Under - Criciúma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Criciúma is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Ceará · 1.55 pts / match - Criciúma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Criciúma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ceará
Criciúma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ceará | Liga | Criciúma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.35 | 2.34 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 44% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 31% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ceará 0 - 1 - 0 Criciúma. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceará vs Criciúma?
The Serie B match finished Ceará 1:0 Criciúma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Criciúma?
Ceará score 1.10 goals per game on average and Criciúma 1.06. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ceará's matches and 35% of Criciúma's.
What form are Ceará and Criciúma in?
Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Criciúma 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Criciúma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.