Ceará vs Fortaleza: match statistics
Ceará vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ceará play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 23:30. Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ceará: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ceará scores 0.89 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ceará 50%, Fortaleza 37%. Over 2.5: Ceará 28%, Fortaleza 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.48. Ceará: 13.4 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.3.
Match halves
Ceará: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Ceará: 31-45+ (5 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Ceará has a clear advantage in chance creation at home — averaging 17.75 shots and 6.25 shots on target per match, translating to 1.25 goals per game and xG 1.99. Fortaleza away averages 11.25 shots and only 2.5 on target, with just 0.25 goals per away match and xG 1.14, and in 75% of their away fixtures they fail to score. Defensively the visitors formally have 75% clean sheets and concede 1.00 goal per away match on average, but their away xG Against is 1.76, whereas Ceará at home has xG Against 1.04 and actual concessions of 1.25 goals, suggesting the hosts create better-quality chances. In overall form Fortaleza have 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 (PPG 2.2), while Ceará have 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 (PPG 1.2), so the visitors are point-efficient but lack goals on the road. Considering Ceará’s higher xG and greater shot volume (1.99 and 6.25 SOT vs 1.14 and 2.5 SOT) and the high share of Fortaleza’s goalless away matches, I forecast a home win with a low-scoring margin.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ceará | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ceará · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortaleza is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Ceará · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza
Fortaleza is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Ceará · 1 goals / match - Fortaleza
Ceará scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ceará
Over / Under — Fortaleza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Ceará · 1.42 pts / match - Fortaleza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ceará
Fortaleza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ceará | Liga | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ceará 1 - 1 - 0 Fortaleza. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceará vs Fortaleza?
The Serie B match finished Ceará 2:1 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ceará and Fortaleza?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1, Fortaleza won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Fortaleza?
Ceará score 0.89 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ceará's matches and 37% of Fortaleza's.
What form are Ceará and Fortaleza in?
Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Fortaleza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Fortaleza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.