Ceará vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ceará played Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Ceará: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Palmeiras: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ceará scores 0.89 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.70 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ceará 38%, Palmeiras 49%. Over 2.5: Ceará 27%, Palmeiras 51%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.26. Ceará: 11.7 shots per match, Palmeiras: 15.5.

Match halves

Ceará: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.51. Palmeiras: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.97.

Goals by minute

Ceará: 76-90+ (8 goals). Palmeiras: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
CearáPalmeiras
18Shots14
CearáPalmeiras
5Shots on target7
CearáPalmeiras
1.86xG1.74
CearáPalmeiras
7Corners7
CearáPalmeiras
52Dangerous attacks50
CearáPalmeiras
14Fouls15
CearáPalmeiras
4Cards2
CearáPalmeiras

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.89Goals scored / match1.7
CearáPalmeiras
1Goals conceded / match0.86
CearáPalmeiras
42%Average possession52%
CearáPalmeiras
4Shots on target / match5.57
CearáPalmeiras

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.68Shots per match15.49
CearáPalmeiras
4Shots on target5.57
CearáPalmeiras
7.6%Shot conversion11%
CearáPalmeiras
42%Possession52%
CearáPalmeiras
1.26xG for1.69
CearáPalmeiras
1.34xG against1.23
CearáPalmeiras

Shooting quality

Ceará: BalancedPalmeiras: Attacking
CearáPalmeiras
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palmeiras is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Ceará · 1 pts / match - Palmeiras

Ceará
WLLDL
Season result split
30% W27% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-16
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Palmeiras
LDDLW
Season result split
59% W19% R22% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-7-8
1.97 pts / match · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-2-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palmeiras is 91% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Ceará · 1.7 goals / match - Palmeiras

Palmeiras is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Ceará · 0.86 goals / match - Palmeiras

Ceará scoring profile: mixed

Ceará scores in 62% of matches (23 of 37 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).

Palmeiras scoring profile: very strong

Palmeiras scores in 78% of matches (29 of 37 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).

33Goals scored (season)63
CearáPalmeiras
37Goals conceded (season)32
CearáPalmeiras
1.89Average goals in match2.57
CearáPalmeiras
3Goals scored (last 5)5
CearáPalmeiras
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
CearáPalmeiras

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal78%
CearáPalmeiras
24%2 goals54%
CearáPalmeiras
3%3 goals24%
CearáPalmeiras
0%4 goals11%
CearáPalmeiras

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal59%
CearáPalmeiras
24%2 goals22%
CearáPalmeiras
5%3 goals5%
CearáPalmeiras
0%4 goals0%
CearáPalmeiras

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time24%
CearáPalmeiras
3%BTTS in both halves5%
CearáPalmeiras
19%Scored in both halves32%
CearáPalmeiras

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
CearáPalmeiras
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
CearáPalmeiras
40%BTTS - last 520%
CearáPalmeiras

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
CearáPalmeiras
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
CearáPalmeiras
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
CearáPalmeiras

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
CearáPalmeiras
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
CearáPalmeiras
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
CearáPalmeiras

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palmeiras is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / match - Ceará · 1.38 pts / match - Palmeiras

Ceará - half-time state
24% leading46% draw30% trailing
Palmeiras - half-time state
27% leading57% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per match (1st half)1.38
CearáPalmeiras
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.73
CearáPalmeiras
0.49Goals conceded (1st half)0.49
CearáPalmeiras
0.86Average goals (1st half)1.22
CearáPalmeiras
57%Clean sheet before half-time65%
CearáPalmeiras
65%No goal before half-time49%
CearáPalmeiras

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1.86
CearáPalmeiras
0.51Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
CearáPalmeiras
0.51Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
CearáPalmeiras
1.03Average goals (2nd half)1.35
CearáPalmeiras
57%Clean sheet after half-time68%
CearáPalmeiras
54%No goal after half-time41%
CearáPalmeiras

Ceará - second-half results

27% W43% R30% P
44
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Palmeiras - second-half results

51% W32% R16% P
51
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding219%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ceará - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Palmeiras - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ceará
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
5
8
31-45
7
1
46-60
4
6
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Palmeiras
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
11
3
16-30
8
10
31-45
10
1
46-60
11
6
61-75
15
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ceará

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Palmeiras

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
172%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

CearáLigaPalmeiras
Average goals in match 1.892.50 2.57
Both teams scored 38%47% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%46% 51%
Clean sheets 30%30% 41%
Goal before half-time 65%70% 62%
Goal after half-time 70%75% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PalmeirasGoalRamón Sosa Acosta
  2. PalmeirasSubstitutionOn: Erick Machado BeléOff: Mauricio Magalhães Prado
  3. CearáYellow cardWillian Estefani Machado
  4. PalmeirasYellow cardLuis Felipe Pacheco da Costa

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Bruno Arleu de AraujoMatches officiated: 19
5.95Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins26%Draws32%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ceará 0 - 0 - 1 Palmeiras. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

SE Palmeiras
2 : 1
Ceará SC

FAQ

What was the result of Ceará vs Palmeiras?

The Serie A match finished Ceará 1:3 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Palmeiras?

Ceará score 0.89 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.70. The Serie A average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Ceará's matches and 49% of Palmeiras's.

What form are Ceará and Palmeiras in?

Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Palmeiras 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Palmeiras?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ceará vs Palmeiras: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.