Ceará vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Ceará vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ceará play Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Ceará: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Vila Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ceará scores 0.89 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Vila Nova scores 1.39 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ceará 50%, Vila Nova 56%. Over 2.5: Ceará 28%, Vila Nova 44%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Ceará has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.41. Ceará: 13.4 shots per match, Vila Nova: 13.3.
Match halves
Ceará: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Vila Nova: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Ceará: 31-45+ (5 goals). Vila Nova: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Ceará holds a slight edge heading into this match: at home they generate 1.69 xG and 5.5 shots on target on average, while Vila Nova away posts 1.52 xG and only 3.5 shots on target. The visitors dominate possession on the road (56% vs 46%), but higher possession does not translate into more shots on target. Defensively the hosts look more solid — Ceará concedes only 1.05 xG at home and has conceded 2 goals this season, whereas Vila Nova’s away xG against is 1.57 and they have conceded 5 goals this season. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 goals, with Ceará at 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per game) and Vila Nova at 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game). Considering the superiority in quality of chances (1.69 vs 1.52 xG), the higher number of shots on target (5.5 vs 3.5) and the lower xG against for the hosts (1.05 vs 1.57), I predict a narrow Ceará victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ceará | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ceará · 1.2 pts / match - Vila Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Ceará · 1.39 goals / match - Vila Nova
Ceará scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Vila Nova scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ceará
Over / Under — Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ceará
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ceará | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceará vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Ceará 3:3 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Vila Nova?
Ceará score 0.89 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.39. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ceará's matches and 56% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Ceará and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Vila Nova 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Vila Nova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.