Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka: match statistics
Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Čelik played Borac Banja Luka in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Bilino Polje. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Čelik: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Borac Banja Luka: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Čelik scores 1.00 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Borac Banja Luka scores 1.90 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Čelik 45%, Borac Banja Luka 40%. Over 2.5: Čelik 55%, Borac Banja Luka 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Borac Banja Luka has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.10. Čelik: 8.9 shots per match, Borac Banja Luka: 12.8.
Match halves
Čelik: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45. Borac Banja Luka: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Čelik: 16-30 (3 goals). Borac Banja Luka: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Borac Banja Luka are second in the table with 8 wins from 10 matches, while seventh-placed Čelik have won 2 of their 11 games. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals in the process; over the same period, the hosts recorded one win and scored 4 goals. Away from home, Borac average 1.75 goals with an xG of 1.72, while Čelik have an xG of 1.15 at home and have failed to score in 40% of their matches. The visitors also have the edge defensively: away from home, they concede chances worth an average xG of 0.94, compared with 1.54 for Čelik at home. However, Borac concede an average of 1.5 goals away and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, so an away win is the most likely outcome, but not a certainty.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Čelik’s defense: they concede an average of 0.17 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 83% of matches. At the same time, the hosts have scored in every home match, but across their last 5 games they have managed only 0.8 goals per match with an xG of 0.91, increasing the risk that they fail to score this time. Borac pose a serious threat to this pick, averaging 1.75 goals away from home and 2.0 goals per match across their last 5 games. Even so, BTTS has landed in only 17% of Čelik’s home matches, compared with 75% of Borac’s away matches. I view this discrepancy, together with the hosts’ recent drop in scoring output, as giving a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line was hit in 83% of Čelik’s matches and 50% of Borac’s, while in each team’s last five matches, only 40% went Over 2.5 goals. Borac’s form increases the visitors’ chances of scoring—they have averaged 2.0 goals across their last five matches, compared with Čelik’s average of 0.8. On the other hand, Čelik have conceded just 0.17 goals per game at home and kept a clean sheet in 83% of matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. Although season-long attacking xG stands at 1.82 for the hosts and 1.72 for the visitors, the 2.55-goal projection accounts for both Čelik’s defensive strength and the teams’ recent results, making the 3.5 line a clearer value play than 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Čelik have won all 6 of the analysed home matches, but have claimed just 1 victory in their last 5 matches overall, while Borac have won 4 of 5. A draw at half-time is likely: Čelik went into the break level in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Borac did so in 2 of 5; both teams averaged 0.4 goals in the first half. After the break in those same matches, Borac averaged 1.6 goals compared with Čelik’s 0.4 and won the second half 3 times, while the hosts did not win it once. Therefore, despite Čelik’s strong home record, a half-time draw followed by a Borac win is the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Čelik | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borac Banja Luka is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Čelik · 3 pts / match - Borac Banja Luka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borac Banja Luka is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Čelik · 1.9 goals / match - Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Čelik · 0.7 goals / match - Borac Banja Luka
Čelik scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Borac Banja Luka keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
Borac Banja Luka scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Čelik keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Čelik
Over / Under - Borac Banja Luka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borac Banja Luka is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Čelik · 2.1 pts / match - Borac Banja Luka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Čelik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Borac Banja Luka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Čelik
Borac Banja Luka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Čelik | Liga | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.54 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 41% | • 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Čelik 0 - 0 - 1 Borac Banja Luka. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Čelik 2:4 Borac Banja Luka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka?
Čelik score 1.00 goals per game on average and Borac Banja Luka 1.90. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Čelik's matches and 40% of Borac Banja Luka's.
What form are Čelik and Borac Banja Luka in?
Over the last 5 games Čelik have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Borac Banja Luka 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.