Bosnia & Herzegovina - Premier League of BosniaStadion Bilino PoljeData current as of 15 October 2026

Čelik vs Zrinjski: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Čelik vs Zrinjski: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Čelik play Zrinjski in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Bilino Polje.

Current form

Čelik: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Zrinjski: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Čelik scores 1.22 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Zrinjski scores 2.56 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Čelik 56%, Zrinjski 56%. Over 2.5: Čelik 56%, Zrinjski 56%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Zrinjski has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.09. Čelik: 9.3 shots per match, Zrinjski: 12.3.

Match halves

Čelik: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Zrinjski: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.56.

Goals by minute

Čelik: 16-30 (3 goals). Zrinjski: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League of Bosnia: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.22Goals scored / match2.56
ČelikZrinjski
1.33Goals conceded / match0.78
ČelikZrinjski
45%Average possession52%
ČelikZrinjski
3.22Shots on target / match6.67
ČelikZrinjski

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.33Shots per match12.33
ČelikZrinjski
3.22Shots on target6.67
ČelikZrinjski
13.1%Shot conversion20.7%
ČelikZrinjski
45%Possession52%
ČelikZrinjski
1.09xG for1.63
ČelikZrinjski
1.61xG against0.98
ČelikZrinjski

Shooting quality

Čelik: Counter-attackingZrinjski: Efficient finishing
ČelikZrinjski
Accuracy (shots on target)35%54%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Zrinjski is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Čelik · 2.4 pts / match - Zrinjski

Čelik
DLWDD
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Zrinjski
WWLWW
Season result split
89% W0% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-0-1
2.67 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zrinjski is 110% better for: goals scored per match.

1.22 goals / match - Čelik · 2.56 goals / match - Zrinjski

Zrinjski is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Čelik · 0.78 goals / match - Zrinjski

Čelik scoring profile: strong

Čelik scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Zrinjski keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

Zrinjski scoring profile: very strong

Zrinjski scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Čelik keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

11Goals scored (season)23
ČelikZrinjski
12Goals conceded (season)7
ČelikZrinjski
2.56Average goals in match3.33
ČelikZrinjski
6Goals scored (last 5)13
ČelikZrinjski
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
ČelikZrinjski

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal89%
ČelikZrinjski
33%2 goals78%
ČelikZrinjski
22%3 goals33%
ČelikZrinjski
0%4 goals22%
ČelikZrinjski

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
ČelikZrinjski
56%2 goals11%
ČelikZrinjski
11%3 goals0%
ČelikZrinjski
0%4 goals0%
ČelikZrinjski

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time33%
ČelikZrinjski
11%BTTS in both halves0%
ČelikZrinjski
33%Scored in both halves56%
ČelikZrinjski

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ČelikZrinjski
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ČelikZrinjski
60%BTTS - last 560%
ČelikZrinjski

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
ČelikZrinjski
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
ČelikZrinjski
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
ČelikZrinjski

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
ČelikZrinjski
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
ČelikZrinjski
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
ČelikZrinjski

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zrinjski is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Čelik · 2 pts / match - Zrinjski

Čelik - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing
Zrinjski - half-time state
56% leading33% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)2
ČelikZrinjski
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1
ČelikZrinjski
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
ČelikZrinjski
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.44
ČelikZrinjski
56%Clean sheet before half-time56%
ČelikZrinjski
56%No goal before half-time33%
ČelikZrinjski

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per match (2nd half)2.56
ČelikZrinjski
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)1.56
ČelikZrinjski
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
ČelikZrinjski
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.89
ČelikZrinjski
33%Clean sheet after half-time78%
ČelikZrinjski
44%No goal after half-time22%
ČelikZrinjski

Čelik - second-half results

11% W56% D33% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Zrinjski - second-half results

78% W22% D0% L
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding159%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Čelik - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Zrinjski - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.01.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Čelik
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Zrinjski
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
8
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.95
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Čelik

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Zrinjski

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.93
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
246%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).

Teams vs league

ČelikLigaZrinjski
Average goals in match• 2.562.62▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▲ 56%53%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%44%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▲ 33%29%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%64%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%76%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+33%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Čelik 0 - 0 - 1 Zrinjski. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Čelik and Zrinjski play?

Čelik face Zrinjski on 17 October 2026 in Premier League of Bosnia at Stadion Bilino Polje. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Čelik vs Zrinjski?

Čelik score 1.22 goals per game on average and Zrinjski 2.56. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Čelik's matches and 56% of Zrinjski's.

What form are Čelik and Zrinjski in?

Over the last 5 games Čelik have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Zrinjski 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Čelik vs Zrinjski?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Čelik vs Zrinjski: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.