Čelik vs Zrinjski: match statistics
Čelik vs Zrinjski: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Čelik played Zrinjski in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Bilino Polje. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Čelik: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Zrinjski: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Čelik scores 1.22 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Zrinjski scores 2.56 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Čelik 56%, Zrinjski 56%. Over 2.5: Čelik 56%, Zrinjski 56%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Zrinjski has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.09. Čelik: 9.3 shots per match, Zrinjski: 12.3.
Match halves
Čelik: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Zrinjski: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.56.
Goals by minute
Čelik: 16-30 (3 goals). Zrinjski: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zrinjski top the table with 8 wins from 9 matches, while sixth-placed Čelik have won 2 of their 9 games. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals in that run; the hosts have managed just 1 win and scored 6 goals over the same period. Away from home, Zrinjski average 3 goals per match with an xG of 1.52, while Čelik score 1.75 goals at home with an xG of 1.13, pointing to the visitors’ advantage in both finishing and the quality of chances created. Both teams concede an average of 1 goal per match in these conditions, although Čelik keep a clean sheet in 50% of their home games. Home advantage gives the hosts a chance, but Zrinjski’s 75% away win rate compared with Čelik’s 50% home win rate makes the visitors the stronger pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Čelik average 2.2 goals per match at home and have scored in every home match so far, increasing the likelihood of a goal from the hosts. Zrinjski average 3.0 goals away from home and scored an average of 2.6 in their last 5 matches, giving them a strong attacking foundation as well. Both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, although their season-long rates are 60% and 50%, respectively. Caution is warranted, as Čelik have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home matches, while their xG over the last 5 matches has fallen to 0.90. Even so, the hosts’ consistent scoring and the visitors’ effective attack make both teams scoring somewhat more likely than at least one team failing to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Čelik’s matches, although in only 50% of Zrinjski’s. Both teams average more than 6 shots on target per match, while their attacking xG stands at 1.71 and 1.52, respectively, supporting the expectation of several scoring chances. In their last five matches, Zrinjski averaged 2.6 goals scored, while Čelik conceded 1.2; the hosts scored 1.2 goals per match over that period. The projected total of 2.90 goals points to Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line is less certain, having been cleared in 60% of Čelik’s matches and 50% of Zrinjski’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is a realistic possibility, as Čelik were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in the first half. After the break, the form advantage points to Zrinjski: across their last 5 matches, the visitors averaged 1.6 second-half goals, compared with 0.6 for the hosts. Zrinjski won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2.6 goals, while Čelik won just once and averaged 1.2 goals. However, the X/2 pick is not without risk, as Čelik won all 5 of the home matches considered, and their average xG is 1.71 compared with Zrinjski’s 1.52. Even so, the combination of the hosts’ solid first-half performances and the visitors’ clearly superior recent finishing after the break makes a half-time draw followed by a Zrinjski win the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Čelik | Zrinjski | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zrinjski is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Čelik · 2.4 pts / match - Zrinjski
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zrinjski is 110% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Čelik · 2.56 goals / match - Zrinjski
Zrinjski is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Čelik · 0.78 goals / match - Zrinjski
Čelik scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Zrinjski keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Zrinjski scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Čelik keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Čelik
Over / Under - Zrinjski
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zrinjski is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Čelik · 2 pts / match - Zrinjski
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Čelik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zrinjski - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Čelik
Zrinjski
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Čelik | Liga | Zrinjski | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.56 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 42% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Čelik 0 - 0 - 1 Zrinjski. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Čelik vs Zrinjski?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Čelik 0:3 Zrinjski. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Čelik vs Zrinjski?
Čelik score 1.22 goals per game on average and Zrinjski 2.56. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Čelik's matches and 56% of Zrinjski's.
What form are Čelik and Zrinjski in?
Over the last 5 games Čelik have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Zrinjski 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Čelik vs Zrinjski?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Čelik vs Zrinjski: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.