Celje vs Mura: match statistics
Celje are the clear favorites for this match, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The hosts show dominant form at home, winning 70% of their home matches with just 0% losses and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Mura are in eighth place with very poor away form - 73% losses, only 9% wins, and just 0.82 goals scored on average away. The difference in expected goals (xG) is clear: Celje have 2.08 xG in home matches, while Mura only have 1.43 xG away, confirming the hosts' qualitative advantage. The recent form of both teams also favors Celje - Mura have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, making a home win a highly likely scenario.
Celje vs Mura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celje played Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Celje: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mura: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celje scores 2.52 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mura scores 1.00 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celje 57%, Mura 43%. Over 2.5: Celje 76%, Mura 48%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Celje has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.41. Celje: 15.2 shots per match, Mura: 10.9.
Match halves
Celje: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.52. Mura: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Celje: 76-90+ (15 goals). Mura: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje are the clear favorites for this match, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The hosts show dominant form at home, winning 70% of their home matches with just 0% losses and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Mura are in eighth place with very poor away form - 73% losses, only 9% wins, and just 0.82 goals scored on average away. The difference in expected goals (xG) is clear: Celje have 2.08 xG in home matches, while Mura only have 1.43 xG away, confirming the hosts' qualitative advantage. The recent form of both teams also favors Celje - Mura have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, making a home win a highly likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celje is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Celje · 0.6 pts / match - Mura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 152% better for: goals scored per match.
2.52 goals / match - Celje · 1 goals / match - Mura
Celje is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Celje · 1.52 goals / match - Mura
Celje scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Mura scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - Mura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Celje · 1 pts / match - Mura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celje
Mura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Mura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.52 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 65% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Celje 1 - 0 - 1 Mura. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Mura?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 5:1 Mura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Mura?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Celje won 1, Mura won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Mura?
Celje score 2.52 goals per game on average and Mura 1.00. The PrvaLiga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Celje's matches and 43% of Mura's.
What form are Celje and Mura in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mura 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Mura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.