Celje vs NK Primorje: match statistics
As the league leaders with an impressive 73% win rate at home and a +21 goal difference in home matches, Celje demonstrate a decisive advantage over NK Primorje. The hosts score an average of 2.45 goals per home match while conceding only 0.55, confirming their offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. NK Primorje occupies 9th place with a catastrophic away record – 0% wins, 83% losses, and a -21 goal difference, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per away match. The visitors' form is alarming, as evidenced by a series of defeats in recent away matches and the fact that in half of their away games they fail to score at all. xG statistics also favor Celje (2.12 vs 1.37), indicating a significant qualitative superiority for the hosts. Considering all these factors, a Celje victory is highly likely.
Celje vs NK Primorje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celje played NK Primorje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Celje: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. NK Primorje: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celje scores 2.40 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. NK Primorje scores 1.08 and concedes 1.96. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celje 56%, NK Primorje 56%. Over 2.5: Celje 72%, NK Primorje 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Celje has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.49. Celje: 14.5 shots per match, NK Primorje: 10.6.
Match halves
Celje: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.40. NK Primorje: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Celje: 76-90+ (16 goals). NK Primorje: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders with an impressive 73% win rate at home and a +21 goal difference in home matches, Celje demonstrate a decisive advantage over NK Primorje. The hosts score an average of 2.45 goals per home match while conceding only 0.55, confirming their offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. NK Primorje occupies 9th place with a catastrophic away record – 0% wins, 83% losses, and a -21 goal difference, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per away match. The visitors' form is alarming, as evidenced by a series of defeats in recent away matches and the fact that in half of their away games they fail to score at all. xG statistics also favor Celje (2.12 vs 1.37), indicating a significant qualitative superiority for the hosts. Considering all these factors, a Celje victory is highly likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | NK Primorje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celje is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Celje · 0.6 pts / match - NK Primorje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
2.4 goals / match - Celje · 1.08 goals / match - NK Primorje
Celje is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Celje · 1.96 goals / match - NK Primorje
Celje scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while NK Primorje keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
NK Primorje scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - NK Primorje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / match - Celje · 0.92 pts / match - NK Primorje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NK Primorje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celje
NK Primorje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | NK Primorje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 3.13 | • 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 64% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 22% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 86% | ▼ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Celje 2 - 0 - 0 NK Primorje. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs NK Primorje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 5:1 NK Primorje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and NK Primorje?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Celje won 2, NK Primorje won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs NK Primorje?
Celje score 2.40 goals per game on average and NK Primorje 1.08. The PrvaLiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Celje's matches and 56% of NK Primorje's.
What form are Celje and NK Primorje in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and NK Primorje 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs NK Primorje?
The statistical background for Celje vs NK Primorje — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.