Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra: match statistics

Celta de Vigo II are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while scoring 8 goals and conceding just 4. FC Andorra sit top of the table after a 5:1 victory in their only meeting of the current season, but their broader run has been inconsistent: 2 wins and as many as 3 defeats in their last 5 appearances. The hosts have averaged 1.6 goals per match over this sequence, while Andorra have conceded 6 goals, or 1.2 per game. The Vigo side also have a superior points tally from their last five matches, averaging 1.8 points per game compared with 1.2 for the visitors. Home advantage and Celta’s consistency offset Andorra’s higher league position, making a draw the most likely outcome.

A scenario with goals from both teams is slightly more likely, as Celta de Vigo II have averaged 1.6 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while FC Andorra have averaged 1.4. The visitors have also created chances worth an average of 1.79 xG, whereas the hosts have conceded just 0.8 goals per game during this period, suggesting a demanding but realistic task for Andorra. Celta have a 60% BTTS rate across their last five matches, compared with 40% for Andorra, meaning the combined data is better than the league average of 45% only on the hosts' side. However, the defences are not completely watertight: Andorra have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches, an average of 1.2 per game. Therefore, the most likely outcome is one in which both teams find the back of the net.

Data from the last five matches indicates a moderate goal profile: Celta de Vigo II scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 0.8, while FC Andorra scored 1.4 and allowed opponents 1.2 goals. During this period, matches featuring at least three goals accounted for 40% of both teams’ games, clearly below the league average of 45%. The hosts’ defence looks particularly stable, having allowed opponents just 0.61 xG per match, although Andorra created an average of 1.79 xG. The projected total of 2.30 goals provides a safety margin below four goals, making Under 3.5 the strongest selection.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Celta de Vigo II win, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 0.2 goals in the first half during that period. FC Andorra have more often started well, leading at the break in 40% of their recent matches, but their advantage has not consistently translated into the final result: they lost 60% of their last five games. Celta remain unbeaten in this run, averaging 1.8 points per match compared with Andorra’s 1.2, while scoring 1.4 goals after half-time and conceding just 0.2. The hosts’ data from one home match also points to a half-time lead and a full-time win, but the small sample primarily supports the more cautious X/1 option.