Celta de Vigo vs CA Osasuna: match statistics

Celta de Vigo remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws for a total of 11 points. During this run, the hosts have scored 9 goals—an average of 1.8 per match—while conceding just 4, highlighting a significantly stronger balance in both phases of play than their opponents. Osasuna have also won 3 of their last 5 matches, but after a three-match winning streak, they suffered two consecutive defeats and conceded 6 goals. The visitors scored 7 goals, averaging 1.4 per game, making their attack less productive than Celta’s. The narrow gap in the table—Osasuna in third and Celta in fourth—points to a closely contested match, but the hosts’ more consistent run gives them the edge to secure victory.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive, as both Celta and Osasuna recorded goals from both sides in 60% of their last 5 matches. Celta scored 9 goals during this period, averaging 1.8 per game, while Osasuna scored 7, averaging 1.4, giving both teams genuine goal-scoring potential. The quality of chances created is also similar: average xG stands at 1.37 for Celta and 1.27 for Osasuna. The risk to the pick is the home side’s defence, which conceded only 4 goals in its last five appearances, averaging 0.8 per match. However, Osasuna creates chances worth 1.27 xG and should have opportunities to break through. For this reason, the scenario in which both teams score is more likely, although the edge over BTTS - Yes is not decisive.

Celta have averaged 1.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.8 over their last 5 matches, while Osasuna have scored 1.4 and allowed their opponents 1.2 goals per game. The current combined xG average for both teams stands at 2.64 (1.37 for Celta and 1.27 for Osasuna), indicating solid potential for at least two goals. Both teams have seen both sides score in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Osasuna’s games went over 2.5 goals in 60% of that sample. Celta recorded a 9:4 goal difference in their last five appearances, so their attacking form and home advantage further support a scenario with at least two goals. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as the projected total of 2.56 goals gives it a clearer edge than the riskier 2.5 line.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Celta victory, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 of Osasuna’s last 5. The first halves were cautious, with Celta averaging 0.4 goals before the break and Osasuna just 0.2, while both teams conceded 0.4 goals per match. After the interval, the hosts’ advantage increases significantly: Celta averaged 1.4 goals and won the second half in 80% of their recent matches, compared with Osasuna’s 1.2 goals and 40% second-half win rate. Celta remain unbeaten in their last five outings, collecting an average of 2.2 points per match, while Osasuna lost 2 of their last 5 games. In addition, the hosts conceded just 0.4 goals per match after half-time, compared with 0.8 for the visitors, strengthening the case for Celta to settle an evenly matched opening during the latter stages of the game.