Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés: match statistics
Celta de Vigo displays significantly better home form with a +3 goal difference and a 29% home win rate, whereas Deportivo Alavés has catastrophic away results (71% losses, -13 goal difference). The hosts have averaged 1.6 points per game over the last 5 matches, while the visitors have managed only 0.6 points, failing to win any of their last five fixtures. A major concern for the visitors is their failure to score in 50% of their away matches, which, combined with a low average of 0.64 goals per away game, puts them in a very difficult position. The xG statistics also favor Celta (1.39 vs 1.22), and their advantage in possession (52% vs 50%) and shot accuracy (12% vs 6%) further supports the hosts. Considering all factors, a Celta victory is the most likely outcome, although their solid home draw percentage (36%) means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celta de Vigo played Deportivo Alavés in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Celta de Vigo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Deportivo Alavés: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celta de Vigo scores 1.36 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Deportivo Alavés scores 0.93 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celta de Vigo 64%, Deportivo Alavés 57%. Over 2.5: Celta de Vigo 39%, Deportivo Alavés 43%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Alavés has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.27. Celta de Vigo: 10.8 shots per match, Deportivo Alavés: 11.8.
Match halves
Celta de Vigo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.93. Deportivo Alavés: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Celta de Vigo: 76-90+ (12 goals). Deportivo Alavés: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celta de Vigo displays significantly better home form with a +3 goal difference and a 29% home win rate, whereas Deportivo Alavés has catastrophic away results (71% losses, -13 goal difference). The hosts have averaged 1.6 points per game over the last 5 matches, while the visitors have managed only 0.6 points, failing to win any of their last five fixtures. A major concern for the visitors is their failure to score in 50% of their away matches, which, combined with a low average of 0.64 goals per away game, puts them in a very difficult position. The xG statistics also favor Celta (1.39 vs 1.22), and their advantage in possession (52% vs 50%) and shot accuracy (12% vs 6%) further supports the hosts. Considering all factors, a Celta victory is the most likely outcome, although their solid home draw percentage (36%) means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celta de Vigo | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celta de Vigo is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Celta de Vigo · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Alavés
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celta de Vigo is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 0.93 goals / match - Deportivo Alavés
Celta de Vigo is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 1.36 goals / match - Deportivo Alavés
Celta de Vigo scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Deportivo Alavés keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
Deportivo Alavés scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Celta de Vigo keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celta de Vigo
Over / Under - Deportivo Alavés
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celta de Vigo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Alavés - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celta de Vigo
Deportivo Alavés
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Celta de Vigo | Liga | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Celta de Vigo 1 - 0 - 0 Deportivo Alavés. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés?
The La Liga match finished Celta de Vigo 3:4 Deportivo Alavés. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés?
Celta de Vigo score 1.36 goals per game on average and Deportivo Alavés 0.93. The La Liga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Celta de Vigo's matches and 57% of Deportivo Alavés's.
What form are Celta de Vigo and Deportivo Alavés in?
Over the last 5 games Celta de Vigo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Alavés 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés?
The statistical background for Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


