Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: match statistics
Celta de Vigo are showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game with three wins, two draws, and no losses. Rayo Vallecano has much weaker away results, with a 60% loss rate and only 30% win rate, as well as a negative goal difference of -7 in away matches. The hosts have better shooting efficiency in home games (12% shot conversion rate) and average 1.3 goals per match at home, while the visitors score only 0.9 goals on average away. Rayo Vallecano fails to score in as many as 60% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. Considering all the statistics, Celta de Vigo holds the advantage, although their own home record (20% wins, 50% draws) suggests a draw is also a possibility.
Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celta de Vigo played Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Celta de Vigo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Rayo Vallecano: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celta de Vigo scores 1.32 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Rayo Vallecano scores 0.84 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celta de Vigo 63%, Rayo Vallecano 37%. Over 2.5: Celta de Vigo 26%, Rayo Vallecano 32%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.23. Celta de Vigo: 10.3 shots per match, Rayo Vallecano: 13.6.
Match halves
Celta de Vigo: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.89. Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Celta de Vigo: 76-90+ (8 goals). Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celta de Vigo are showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game with three wins, two draws, and no losses. Rayo Vallecano has much weaker away results, with a 60% loss rate and only 30% win rate, as well as a negative goal difference of -7 in away matches. The hosts have better shooting efficiency in home games (12% shot conversion rate) and average 1.3 goals per match at home, while the visitors score only 0.9 goals on average away. Rayo Vallecano fails to score in as many as 60% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. Considering all the statistics, Celta de Vigo holds the advantage, although their own home record (20% wins, 50% draws) suggests a draw is also a possibility.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celta de Vigo | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celta de Vigo is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Celta de Vigo · 1 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celta de Vigo is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 0.84 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 1.16 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Rayo Vallecano scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Celta de Vigo keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celta de Vigo
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Celta de Vigo · 1.26 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celta de Vigo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celta de Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Celta de Vigo | Liga | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 52% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 46% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Celta de Vigo 0 - 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
The La Liga match finished Celta de Vigo 3:0 Rayo Vallecano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
Celta de Vigo score 1.32 goals per game on average and Rayo Vallecano 0.84. The La Liga average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Celta de Vigo's matches and 37% of Rayo Vallecano's.
What form are Celta de Vigo and Rayo Vallecano in?
Over the last 5 games Celta de Vigo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Rayo Vallecano 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.