Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid: match statistics
Real Madrid demonstrates significantly higher quality and efficiency in away matches, evidenced by a 62% win rate on foreign soil and an impressive record of 19 wins this season. The visitors average 1.92 goals per away match with only 1 conceded goal, and their xG (1.98) exceeds the hosts' figures (1.42). Despite Celta Vigo's good form in the last five matches (4 wins), they are characterized by weaker efficiency at home – only a 31% win rate in home matches and a higher average of conceded goals (1.15). Real Madrid also holds the advantage in possession (58% vs 53%) and a significantly higher average of shots on target (6.38 vs 4.23), which translates to greater game control. The difference in league position (2nd place vs 6th place) and goal difference (+12 for Real vs +4 for Celta in away/home matches) further argue for an away victory.
Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celta de Vigo played Real Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Celta de Vigo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Real Madrid: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celta de Vigo scores 1.38 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Real Madrid scores 2.08 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celta de Vigo 62%, Real Madrid 50%. Over 2.5: Celta de Vigo 38%, Real Madrid 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Real Madrid has higher xG: 2.13 vs 1.30. Celta de Vigo: 11.0 shots per match, Real Madrid: 18.4.
Match halves
Celta de Vigo: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.00. Real Madrid: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.15.
Goals by minute
Celta de Vigo: 76-90+ (12 goals). Real Madrid: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Madrid demonstrates significantly higher quality and efficiency in away matches, evidenced by a 62% win rate on foreign soil and an impressive record of 19 wins this season. The visitors average 1.92 goals per away match with only 1 conceded goal, and their xG (1.98) exceeds the hosts' figures (1.42). Despite Celta Vigo's good form in the last five matches (4 wins), they are characterized by weaker efficiency at home – only a 31% win rate in home matches and a higher average of conceded goals (1.15). Real Madrid also holds the advantage in possession (58% vs 53%) and a significantly higher average of shots on target (6.38 vs 4.23), which translates to greater game control. The difference in league position (2nd place vs 6th place) and goal difference (+12 for Real vs +4 for Celta in away/home matches) further argue for an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celta de Vigo | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Madrid is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Celta de Vigo · 1.8 pts / match - Real Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Madrid is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 2.08 goals / match - Real Madrid
Real Madrid is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 0.85 goals / match - Real Madrid
Celta de Vigo scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
Real Madrid scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Celta de Vigo keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celta de Vigo
Over / Under - Real Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Madrid is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Celta de Vigo · 1.88 pts / match - Real Madrid
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celta de Vigo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celta de Vigo
Real Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Celta de Vigo | Liga | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 25% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Celta de Vigo 1 - 0 - 0 Real Madrid. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Celta de Vigo 1:2 Real Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid?
Celta de Vigo score 1.38 goals per game on average and Real Madrid 2.08. The La Liga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Celta de Vigo's matches and 50% of Real Madrid's.
What form are Celta de Vigo and Real Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Celta de Vigo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Real Madrid 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.