Celta de Vigo vs Valencia CF: match statistics
Celta de Vigo appear the far superior side in this matchup, despite an unimpressive home record (11% win rate). The deciding factor is Valencia's catastrophic away form: 0% away wins, a 63% loss rate, and a goal difference of -13. Valencia concede an average of 2.25 goals per away fixture and fail to score in 50% of their matches. Celta hold the advantage in possession (55% vs 43%), boast better shot conversion rates, and register a higher xG in home games. While recent form for both sides is comparable (1.6 PPG), Valencia have recorded only draws and losses in their last five away outings. The statistics clearly favor the hosts, who are poised to capitalize on the visitors' woeful away performance.
Celta de Vigo vs Valencia CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celta de Vigo played Valencia CF in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Celta de Vigo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Valencia CF: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celta de Vigo scores 1.18 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Valencia CF scores 0.94 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celta de Vigo 65%, Valencia CF 53%. Over 2.5: Celta de Vigo 24%, Valencia CF 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Celta de Vigo has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.20. Celta de Vigo: 10.3 shots per match, Valencia CF: 11.2.
Match halves
Celta de Vigo: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76. Valencia CF: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Celta de Vigo: 46-60 (6 goals). Valencia CF: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celta de Vigo appear the far superior side in this matchup, despite an unimpressive home record (11% win rate). The deciding factor is Valencia's catastrophic away form: 0% away wins, a 63% loss rate, and a goal difference of -13. Valencia concede an average of 2.25 goals per away fixture and fail to score in 50% of their matches. Celta hold the advantage in possession (55% vs 43%), boast better shot conversion rates, and register a higher xG in home games. While recent form for both sides is comparable (1.6 PPG), Valencia have recorded only draws and losses in their last five away outings. The statistics clearly favor the hosts, who are poised to capitalize on the visitors' woeful away performance.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celta de Vigo | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celta de Vigo is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Celta de Vigo · 1.2 pts / match - Valencia CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celta de Vigo is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 0.94 goals / match - Valencia CF
Celta de Vigo is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Celta de Vigo · 1.53 goals / match - Valencia CF
Celta de Vigo scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Valencia CF keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Valencia CF scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Celta de Vigo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celta de Vigo
Over / Under - Valencia CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celta de Vigo is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Celta de Vigo · 0.88 pts / match - Valencia CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celta de Vigo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Valencia CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celta de Vigo
Valencia CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Celta de Vigo | Liga | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.55 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 47% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Celta de Vigo vs Valencia CF?
The La Liga match finished Celta de Vigo 4:1 Valencia CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Celta de Vigo vs Valencia CF?
Celta de Vigo score 1.18 goals per game on average and Valencia CF 0.94. The La Liga average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Celta de Vigo's matches and 53% of Valencia CF's.
What form are Celta de Vigo and Valencia CF in?
Over the last 5 games Celta de Vigo have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Valencia CF 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celta de Vigo vs Valencia CF?
The statistical background for Celta de Vigo vs Valencia CF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.