Scotland - PremiershipCeltic ParkData current as of 04 November 2026

Celtic vs Kilmarnock: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Celtic vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Celtic play Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 8 November 2026. Venue: Celtic Park.

Current form

Celtic: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kilmarnock: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Celtic scores 2.25 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.08 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Celtic 50%, Kilmarnock 58%. Over 2.5: Celtic 58%, Kilmarnock 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Celtic has higher xG: 2.44 vs 1.33. Celtic: 21.0 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 12.0.

Match halves

Celtic: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Celtic: 31-45+ (8 goals). Kilmarnock: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.14)
(7.60)
(15.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.25Goals scored / match1.08
CelticKilmarnock
0.83Goals conceded / match2.33
CelticKilmarnock
62%Average possession46%
CelticKilmarnock
8.67Shots on target / match3.92
CelticKilmarnock

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

21Shots per match12
CelticKilmarnock
8.67Shots on target3.92
CelticKilmarnock
10.7%Shot conversion9%
CelticKilmarnock
62%Possession46%
CelticKilmarnock
2.44xG for1.33
CelticKilmarnock
1.25xG against1.85
CelticKilmarnock

Shooting quality

Celtic: DominantKilmarnock: Balanced
CelticKilmarnock
Accuracy (shots on target)41%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Celtic is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Celtic · 0.8 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Celtic
WWWDL
Season result split
75% W8% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-2
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.59Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Kilmarnock
LWLLD
Season result split
17% W25% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-7
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 108% better for: goals scored per match.

2.25 goals / match - Celtic · 1.08 goals / match - Kilmarnock

Celtic is 181% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Celtic · 2.33 goals / match - Kilmarnock

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

Kilmarnock scoring profile: strong

Kilmarnock scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

27Goals scored (season)13
CelticKilmarnock
10Goals conceded (season)28
CelticKilmarnock
3.08Average goals in match3.42
CelticKilmarnock
13Goals scored (last 5)7
CelticKilmarnock
6Goals conceded (last 5)13
CelticKilmarnock

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
CelticKilmarnock
67%2 goals25%
CelticKilmarnock
25%3 goals17%
CelticKilmarnock
17%4 goals0%
CelticKilmarnock

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
CelticKilmarnock
17%2 goals67%
CelticKilmarnock
0%3 goals50%
CelticKilmarnock
0%4 goals25%
CelticKilmarnock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
CelticKilmarnock
0%BTTS in both halves17%
CelticKilmarnock
33%Scored in both halves17%
CelticKilmarnock

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CelticKilmarnock
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CelticKilmarnock
60%BTTS - last 580%
CelticKilmarnock

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
CelticKilmarnock
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
CelticKilmarnock
42%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
CelticKilmarnock
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Celtic is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Celtic · 1 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Celtic - half-time state
50% leading17% draw33% trailing
Kilmarnock - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1
CelticKilmarnock
1.42Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CelticKilmarnock
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)1.33
CelticKilmarnock
2.08Average goals (1st half)1.83
CelticKilmarnock
50%Clean sheet before half-time25%
CelticKilmarnock
42%No goal before half-time58%
CelticKilmarnock

After half-time (2nd half)

2.08Points per match (2nd half)0.75
CelticKilmarnock
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
CelticKilmarnock
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)1
CelticKilmarnock
1Average goals (2nd half)1.58
CelticKilmarnock
83%Clean sheet after half-time33%
CelticKilmarnock
42%No goal after half-time58%
CelticKilmarnock

Celtic - second-half results

58% W33% D8% L
20
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kilmarnock - second-half results

17% W25% D58% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Celtic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match1.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.0
Average goals in match3.00.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 9
Kilmarnock - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.61.0
Average goals in match2.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
8
4
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
8
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

CelticLigaKilmarnock
Average goals in match▲ 3.082.83▲ 3.42
Both teams scored▼ 50%57%• 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 58%58%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%23%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time• 83%83%▲ 92%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%78%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Celtic 4 - 0 - 0 Kilmarnock. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
Kilmarnock FC
2 : 3
Celtic FC
Celtic FC
4 : 0
Kilmarnock FC
Kilmarnock FC
1 : 2
Celtic FC

FAQ

When do Celtic and Kilmarnock play?

Celtic face Kilmarnock on 8 November 2026 in Premiership at Celtic Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Kilmarnock?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Celtic won 4, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic score 2.25 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.08. The Premiership average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Celtic's matches and 58% of Kilmarnock's.

What form are Celtic and Kilmarnock in?

Over the last 5 games Celtic have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kilmarnock 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

The statistical background for Celtic vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.