Celtic vs Rangers: match statistics
Celtic boasts impressive home form with a 78% win rate and just 11% losses, averaging 2.22 goals per match. The hosts dominate possession (72%) and display excellent offensive efficiency (2.44 xG), confirming their advantage on home turf. Although Rangers sit third in the table, they have clearly weaker away stats, drawing 44% of away games, with an average xG (1.67) significantly lower than Celtic's home output. Rangers' recent form is better (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Celtic), but Celtic is reliable in front of goal at home (11% FTS%), while their defense keeps clean sheets in 67% of home matches. Taking all statistics into account, Celtic has a clear advantage, though Rangers, as a solid team, could offer resistance, leading to a significant probability of a draw.
Celtic vs Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celtic played Rangers in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Celtic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rangers: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celtic scores 1.74 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Rangers scores 1.42 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celtic 42%, Rangers 58%. Over 2.5: Celtic 58%, Rangers 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Celtic has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.79. Celtic: 16.9 shots per match, Rangers: 15.7.
Match halves
Celtic: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.95. Rangers: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Celtic: 76-90+ (10 goals). Rangers: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celtic boasts impressive home form with a 78% win rate and just 11% losses, averaging 2.22 goals per match. The hosts dominate possession (72%) and display excellent offensive efficiency (2.44 xG), confirming their advantage on home turf. Although Rangers sit third in the table, they have clearly weaker away stats, drawing 44% of away games, with an average xG (1.67) significantly lower than Celtic's home output. Rangers' recent form is better (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Celtic), but Celtic is reliable in front of goal at home (11% FTS%), while their defense keeps clean sheets in 67% of home matches. Taking all statistics into account, Celtic has a clear advantage, though Rangers, as a solid team, could offer resistance, leading to a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celtic | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rangers is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Celtic · 2.4 pts / match - Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celtic is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Celtic · 1.42 goals / match - Rangers
Rangers is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Celtic · 0.84 goals / match - Rangers
Celtic scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Rangers scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celtic
Over / Under - Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rangers is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Celtic · 1.79 pts / match - Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celtic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celtic
Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Celtic | Liga | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 29% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Celtic 0 - 1 - 0 Rangers. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celtic vs Rangers?
The Premiership match finished Celtic 1:3 Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Celtic vs Rangers?
Celtic score 1.74 goals per game on average and Rangers 1.42. The Premiership average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Celtic's matches and 58% of Rangers's.
What form are Celtic and Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Celtic have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rangers 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celtic vs Rangers?
The statistical background for Celtic vs Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.