Celtic vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Celtic vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celtic play St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Celtic: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. St. Mirren: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celtic scores 1.92 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. St. Mirren scores 0.79 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celtic 58%, St. Mirren 37%. Over 2.5: Celtic 68%, St. Mirren 32%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Celtic has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.36. Celtic: 16.4 shots per match, St. Mirren: 11.9.
Match halves
Celtic: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.05. St. Mirren: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Celtic: 76-90+ (19 goals). St. Mirren: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (Celtic) because their statistical superiority is clear — Celtic have 20 wins this season vs 7 for St. Mirren and win 73% of matches at home. Celtic’s attacking output at home is markedly higher: 2.2 goals per game on average, 20.07 shots and 7.47 shots on target, while St. Mirren average only 1.06 goals away, 11.69 shots and 3.19 shots on target. Defensively the hosts also dominate — Celtic concede 0.8 goals at home on average with average xG against 0.8, whereas St. Mirren concede 1.94 goals on the road with xG against 1.58, indicating greater vulnerability to conceding. Additionally Celtic keep clean sheets in 53% of home matches and fail to score in 7% of games, whereas St. Mirren have no clean sheets away (0%) and fail to score in 31% of away trips, which further boosts the home edge. Considering higher xG (2.36 vs 1.33), more shots on target and better recent form over the last 5 matches (Celtic: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, averaging 2.0 pts; St. Mirren: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, averaging 1.8 pts), I assess a Celtic victory as the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celtic | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celtic is 275% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Celtic · 0.8 pts / match - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celtic is 143% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Celtic · 0.79 goals / match - St. Mirren
Celtic is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Celtic · 1.45 goals / match - St. Mirren
Celtic scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
St. Mirren scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Celtic
Over / Under — St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celtic is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Celtic · 0.95 pts / match - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celtic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celtic
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Celtic | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 53% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Celtic 2 - 0 - 0 St. Mirren. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celtic vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Celtic 1:0 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and St. Mirren?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Celtic won 2, St. Mirren won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celtic vs St. Mirren?
Celtic score 1.92 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.79. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Celtic's matches and 37% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Celtic and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Celtic have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and St. Mirren 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celtic vs St. Mirren?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.