Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar: match statistics
Brisbane Roar have displayed significantly better form over the last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per game compared to a mere 0.2 for Central Coast Mariners. The hosts sit in 12th place in the table, having lost four of their last five fixtures, while Brisbane occupy the 3rd position with a solid record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses this season. A key differentiator is the visitors' defense; they concede an average of just 1 goal per away match with a 40% clean sheet rate, marking a significant advantage over the hosts, who concede 1.4 goals on average in home games. The xG statistics also favor Brisbane Roar (1.22 xG For vs 1.29 xG Against), whereas Central Coast shows weaker offensive efficiency (0.99 xG For vs 1.81 xG Against in home matches). Taking all data into account, Brisbane Roar have a solid chance of securing the three points, although their lower scoring output on the road (0.8 goals/match) suggests this could be a tightly contested affair.
Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Coast Mariners played Brisbane Roar in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 31 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Central Coast Mariners: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Brisbane Roar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Coast Mariners scores 1.11 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Brisbane Roar scores 1.00 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Coast Mariners 67%, Brisbane Roar 33%. Over 2.5: Central Coast Mariners 56%, Brisbane Roar 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Brisbane Roar has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.03. Central Coast Mariners: 8.9 shots per match, Brisbane Roar: 11.1.
Match halves
Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.33. Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Central Coast Mariners: 31-45+ (3 goals). Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brisbane Roar have displayed significantly better form over the last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per game compared to a mere 0.2 for Central Coast Mariners. The hosts sit in 12th place in the table, having lost four of their last five fixtures, while Brisbane occupy the 3rd position with a solid record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses this season. A key differentiator is the visitors' defense; they concede an average of just 1 goal per away match with a 40% clean sheet rate, marking a significant advantage over the hosts, who concede 1.4 goals on average in home games. The xG statistics also favor Brisbane Roar (1.22 xG For vs 1.29 xG Against), whereas Central Coast shows weaker offensive efficiency (0.99 xG For vs 1.81 xG Against in home matches). Taking all data into account, Brisbane Roar have a solid chance of securing the three points, although their lower scoring output on the road (0.8 goals/match) suggests this could be a tightly contested affair.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Coast Mariners | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brisbane Roar is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.6 pts / match - Brisbane Roar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Coast Mariners is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1 goals / match - Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar is 198% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 0.56 goals / match - Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 67% (6 of 9 matches).
Brisbane Roar scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
Over / Under - Brisbane Roar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.89 pts / match - Brisbane Roar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Central Coast Mariners | Liga | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.78 | 2.60 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
The A-League match finished Central Coast Mariners 1:2 Brisbane Roar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.11 goals per game on average and Brisbane Roar 1.00. The A-League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Central Coast Mariners's matches and 33% of Brisbane Roar's.
What form are Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar in?
Over the last 5 games Central Coast Mariners have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Brisbane Roar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
The statistical background for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.