Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC: match statistics
Melbourne Victory FC is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 points per game compared to just 1.0 point for Central Coast Mariners. The visitors hold a clear advantage in offensive quality, as evidenced by xG statistics (1.63 vs 1.02) and the average shots on target (4.43 vs 2.57). Central Coast Mariners are performing very poorly at home, winning only 14% of their home matches and conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game. Melbourne Victory, despite a 57% loss rate in away matches, has recently shown an upturn in form with three wins in their last five games. Additionally, the visitors have a better average possession (49% vs 42%) and higher defensive efficiency with 43% clean sheets on the road. Taking all these factors into account, Melbourne Victory FC has a genuine chance of securing all three points in this encounter.
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Coast Mariners played Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Central Coast Mariners: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Melbourne Victory FC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Coast Mariners scores 1.29 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.43 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Coast Mariners 64%, Melbourne Victory FC 36%. Over 2.5: Central Coast Mariners 64%, Melbourne Victory FC 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.06. Central Coast Mariners: 9.9 shots per match, Melbourne Victory FC: 16.6.
Match halves
Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43. Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Central Coast Mariners: 16-30 (5 goals). Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melbourne Victory FC is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 points per game compared to just 1.0 point for Central Coast Mariners. The visitors hold a clear advantage in offensive quality, as evidenced by xG statistics (1.63 vs 1.02) and the average shots on target (4.43 vs 2.57). Central Coast Mariners are performing very poorly at home, winning only 14% of their home matches and conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game. Melbourne Victory, despite a 57% loss rate in away matches, has recently shown an upturn in form with three wins in their last five games. Additionally, the visitors have a better average possession (49% vs 42%) and higher defensive efficiency with 43% clean sheets on the road. Taking all these factors into account, Melbourne Victory FC has a genuine chance of securing all three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Coast Mariners | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melbourne Victory FC is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.8 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melbourne Victory FC is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.43 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.29 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Central Coast Mariners scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
Melbourne Victory FC scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
Over / Under - Melbourne Victory FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Central Coast Mariners | Liga | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.78 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC?
The A-League match finished Central Coast Mariners 1:0 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.29 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 1.43. The A-League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Central Coast Mariners's matches and 36% of Melbourne Victory FC's.
What form are Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC in?
Over the last 5 games Central Coast Mariners have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC?
The statistical background for Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.