Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers: match statistics
The match is expected to be extremely tight, which justifies predicting a draw. Central Coast Mariners are in slightly better recent form (2 wins in their last 5 matches) and have a higher PPG (1.6 vs 1.0), however their home record is poor - just a 25% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-1). Western Sydney Wanderers have disastrous away results (71% losses, only 14% wins), but their advantage in ball possession (51% vs 41%) and higher xG (1.68 vs 0.98) indicate potential for chance creation. Both teams have defensive issues - the hosts concede an average of 1.25 goals per game at home, while the visitors concede a high 1.71 away. Considering both teams' low position in the league table (11th and 12th place) and their unstable form, a share of the points seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts hold a slight advantage thanks to playing at home and their better recent disposition.
Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Coast Mariners played Western Sydney Wanderers in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Central Coast Mariners: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Western Sydney Wanderers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Coast Mariners scores 1.31 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Western Sydney Wanderers scores 0.88 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Coast Mariners 63%, Western Sydney Wanderers 47%. Over 2.5: Central Coast Mariners 63%, Western Sydney Wanderers 29%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Western Sydney Wanderers has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.01. Central Coast Mariners: 9.4 shots per match, Western Sydney Wanderers: 15.1.
Match halves
Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.44. Western Sydney Wanderers: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Central Coast Mariners: 31-45+ (6 goals). Western Sydney Wanderers: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is expected to be extremely tight, which justifies predicting a draw. Central Coast Mariners are in slightly better recent form (2 wins in their last 5 matches) and have a higher PPG (1.6 vs 1.0), however their home record is poor - just a 25% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-1). Western Sydney Wanderers have disastrous away results (71% losses, only 14% wins), but their advantage in ball possession (51% vs 41%) and higher xG (1.68 vs 0.98) indicate potential for chance creation. Both teams have defensive issues - the hosts concede an average of 1.25 goals per game at home, while the visitors concede a high 1.71 away. Considering both teams' low position in the league table (11th and 12th place) and their unstable form, a share of the points seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts hold a slight advantage thanks to playing at home and their better recent disposition.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Coast Mariners | Western Sydney Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.51 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Coast Mariners is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1 pts / match - Western Sydney Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Coast Mariners is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 0.88 goals / match - Western Sydney Wanderers
Western Sydney Wanderers is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.35 goals / match - Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Western Sydney Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Western Sydney Wanderers scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
Over / Under - Western Sydney Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Central Coast Mariners is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1 pts / match - Western Sydney Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Western Sydney Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Central Coast Mariners | Liga | Western Sydney Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Central Coast Mariners 0 - 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wanderers. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The A-League match finished Central Coast Mariners 3:2 Western Sydney Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.31 goals per game on average and Western Sydney Wanderers 0.88. The A-League average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Central Coast Mariners's matches and 47% of Western Sydney Wanderers's.
What form are Central Coast Mariners and Western Sydney Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Central Coast Mariners have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The statistical background for Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.