Central Español vs Cerro Largo: match statistics
Central Español shows a significantly better form with three wins in their last five matches and a 2.0 PPG, while Cerro Largo has earned only 0.6 PPG with four losses in this period. The hosts have a positive goal difference of 6:2 this season, whereas the visitors have recorded a negative goal difference of -2 in away matches. The key factor is Central Español's efficiency in front of their home crowd - a 50% win rate in home matches and no losses in their last two home fixtures. Cerro Largo has major offensive issues on the road, scoring an average of just 0.33 goals per game and failing to score in 67% of their away matches. The xG statistics also work in the hosts' favor (0.98 vs 1.16 for the visitors in relative conditions), and given Cerro Largo's poor conversion rate (4%), Central Español's advantage seems clear.
Central Español vs Cerro Largo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Español played Cerro Largo in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Central Español: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cerro Largo: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Español scores 1.20 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Cerro Largo scores 0.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Español 20%, Cerro Largo 20%. Over 2.5: Central Español 40%, Cerro Largo 20%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Central Español has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.17. Central Español: 10.0 shots per match, Cerro Largo: 9.2.
Match halves
Central Español: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Cerro Largo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Central Español: 46-60 (2 goals). Cerro Largo: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Central Español shows a significantly better form with three wins in their last five matches and a 2.0 PPG, while Cerro Largo has earned only 0.6 PPG with four losses in this period. The hosts have a positive goal difference of 6:2 this season, whereas the visitors have recorded a negative goal difference of -2 in away matches. The key factor is Central Español's efficiency in front of their home crowd - a 50% win rate in home matches and no losses in their last two home fixtures. Cerro Largo has major offensive issues on the road, scoring an average of just 0.33 goals per game and failing to score in 67% of their away matches. The xG statistics also work in the hosts' favor (0.98 vs 1.16 for the visitors in relative conditions), and given Cerro Largo's poor conversion rate (4%), Central Español's advantage seems clear.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Español | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Español is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Central Español · 0.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Español is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Central Español · 0.4 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Central Español is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - Central Español · 1.2 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Central Español scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Cerro Largo scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Español
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Central Español is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Central Español · 1 pts / match - Cerro Largo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Español
Cerro Largo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Central Español | Liga | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 2.20 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 43% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 40% | 41% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 32% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 64% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Español vs Cerro Largo?
The Primera División match finished Central Español 1:3 Cerro Largo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Cerro Largo?
Central Español score 1.20 goals per game on average and Cerro Largo 0.40. The Primera División average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Central Español's matches and 20% of Cerro Largo's.
What form are Central Español and Cerro Largo in?
Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cerro Largo 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Cerro Largo?
The statistical background for Central Español vs Cerro Largo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.