Central Español vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
Central Español vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Español played Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 31 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Central Español: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Español scores 1.38 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Español 50%, Deportivo Maldonado 50%. Over 2.5: Central Español 63%, Deportivo Maldonado 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.33. Central Español: 10.6 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 13.8.
Match halves
Central Español: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Central Español: 46-60 (4 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Maldonado display clearly better recent form (PPG 2, 3 wins) while Central Español are in poor form with 0.4 PPG in the last five. The visitors generate more chances (13.75 shots and 4.5 SOT away) and have higher possession (50% vs 39%), translating into higher xG (1.52 vs 1.24). Central are vulnerable at home (1.67 avg goals conceded) and keep fewer clean sheets, and with similar finishing the team that controls the game gains advantage. Considering shot volume, xG and form, an away win for Deportivo Maldonado is the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dominant signal is a very strong home defence: seasonConcededAVG_home 0.25 and seasonCSPercentage_home 75% indicate frequent clean sheets. Although Deportivo Maldonado shows decent offensive values (xG_for_avg_away 1.52, seasonBTTSPercentage_away 75%), the league has a high CS rate (league_seasonCSPercentage 62%). Last5 show some home weakening (last5_seasonConcededAVG_overall_home 1.8 and last5_seasonBTTSPercentage_overall_home 60%), raising risk, but not outweighing season-long clean sheet stats. Considering home defensive dominance and league profile, recommend BTTS: NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals-per-game analysis points to higher offensive potential for both teams: xg_for_home 1.56 vs xg_against_away 1.32 suggests ~1.44 expected home goals, and xg_for_away 1.52 vs xg_against_home 1.00 yields ~1.26 for away. Despite high CS rate for hosts, they have conceded more xG recently and Deportivo show stable offensive values and good form. Seasonal Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 indicators are mixed, but expected total ~2.70 argues strongly for Over 1.5 with high confidence. BTTS distribution leans toward both teams scoring (higher for away), further supporting multiple-goal scenario. Recommendation: Back Over 1.5 as the strongest data-driven signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data strongly indicate home dominance: Central Español have 100% wins this season, 3.0 PPG at home, a low goals-against average 0.25 and season CS% 75%, suggesting stout defense and match control. HT stats show the hosts often lead at the break (leadingAtHTPercentage 75%) and average 1.0 goal by HT while conceding only 0.25, supporting a 1–0 HT scenario. xG for both teams is similar, but points advantage and home form favor maintaining the lead in the second half and a home win FT. Opponent metrics (low PPG and higher goals conceded) reduce the probability of a comeback, hence 1/1 is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Español | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Central Español · 2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Central Español · 1.5 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Central Español · 1 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Central Español scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Español
Over / Under - Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 121% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Central Español · 2.5 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 63%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Español
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Central Español | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.33 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Español vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The Primera División match finished Central Español 2:1 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Central Español score 1.38 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.50. The Primera División average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Central Español's matches and 50% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Central Español and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The statistical background for Central Español vs Deportivo Maldonado — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.