Ceramica Cleopatra vs Olympic El Qanah: match statistics

Ceramica Cleopatra sit 7th, while Olympic El Qanah are 15th, indicating a clear difference in the teams’ positions to date. In their last five matches, the hosts have collected 5 points from 1 win and 2 draws, whereas the visitors have managed only 4 points after losing as many as 3 games. Both teams scored 4 goals during this period, but Ceramica conceded 4, compared with 6 for Olympic El Qanah, giving the hosts the better defensive record. However, Ceramica’s form, including two draws, suggests this is unlikely to be a one-sided contest, making a draw a realistic outcome. The advantage in the table, more stable run of results and tighter defence nevertheless point towards a home win.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Ceramica Cleopatra and Olympic El Qanah have each scored just 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches, producing only 8 goals in total. The hosts recorded BTTS in 40% of those matches, while the visitors did so in 60%, creating a mixed picture but not confirming any clear consistency of goals from both sides. Ceramica conceded an average of 0.8 goals, while Olympic El Qanah scored only 0.8, suggesting that the visitors may struggle to break through the opposition’s defence. Although the visitors’ xG over their last five appearances stands at 1.58, the hosts allowed an average of 1.18 xG, and the low actual scoring output of both teams increases the risk that at least one side will fail to score.

Both teams have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last five matches, while Ceramica Cleopatra conceded just 0.8 goals per match during this period. None of the hosts’ last five matches produced more than 2.5 goals, whereas this outcome occurred in 40% of Olympic El Qanah’s games. The visitors’ attacking potential, according to xG, stands at 1.58, but the hosts allow an average of 1.18 xG, limiting the projection to approximately 1.10 goals for the away side. A total expected goals figure of 2.05, combined with both teams’ low scoring efficiency, indicates that Under 3.5 goals is the strongest option.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as both teams have recently scored only 0.8 goals per match. Ceramica Cleopatra drew 2 of their last 5 matches, while Olympic El Qanah lost as many as 3 of their last 5, although their average goals conceded was a moderate 1.2. At half-time, both teams were level in 40% of their last five matches, with the average total number of goals before the break standing at 1.0. However, the hosts have a slight first-half advantage: they led in 40% of matches and conceded 0.4 goals per game before the break, compared with 20% leads and 0.6 goals conceded by the visitors. After the interval, attacking output remains limited, with Ceramica averaging 0.2 goals and Olympic 0.4, which supports the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring result remaining level.