Cerro Largo vs Boston River: match statistics
Cerro Largo vs Boston River: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo play Boston River in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Boston River: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Boston River scores 0.90 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Boston River 43%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 35%, Boston River 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Boston River has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.24. Cerro Largo: 9.8 shots per match, Boston River: 10.2.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Boston River: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Boston River: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back Boston River to win (2): the visitors have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, while Cerro Largo managed only 3 in the same period. Boston River collected 9 points in their last 5 matches (1.8 points per game) with a record of 3 wins and 2 losses, whereas Cerro Largo has only 3 points (1 win, 4 losses; 0.6 points per game), clearly indicating superior form for the away side. Home stats favor the hosts in chance quality: at home they average 9.43 shots with 2.71 on target and score 1.29 goals with a shot conversion of 14%, compared to the visitors who on the road register 7.57 shots, 2.43 on target and 0.86 goals (11% conversion). Defensively the hosts concede 1.29 goals at home, while Boston River concede 1.71 away, with very similar xG figures (home xG 1.19 vs. away xG 1.03, and xG conceded 1.57 vs. 1.56), which suggests an open match with offensive momentum favoring the visitors. Consequently I assign Boston River a 50% probability, draw 25% and Cerro Largo 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.4 pts / match - Boston River
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Largo is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.9 goals / match - Boston River
Cerro Largo is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.38 goals / match - Boston River
Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Boston River scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro Largo
Over / Under — Boston River
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Largo is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1 pts / match - Boston River
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Boston River - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Boston River
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cerro Largo 0 - 1 - 2 Boston River. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 3:0 Boston River. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Boston River?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 0, Boston River won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
Cerro Largo score 1.10 goals per game on average and Boston River 0.90. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Cerro Largo's matches and 43% of Boston River's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Boston River in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Boston River 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
The statistical background for Cerro Largo vs Boston River — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.