Cerro Largo vs Cerro: match statistics
Cerro Largo vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo play Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Cerro 40%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 35%, Cerro 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.24. Cerro Largo: 9.8 shots per match, Cerro: 11.4.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Cerro: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 25%.
Match description
Cerro Largo holds a clear statistical edge at home: they average 1.5 goals per home match and have won 50% of home fixtures, while Cerro average just 0.25 goals on the road and have lost 100% of away games. The defensive differential is significant – hosts concede 1.0 goal on average at home versus visitors conceding 2.5 away; additionally, average xG against is 1.32 for the hosts compared to 1.75 for the visitors, confirming Cerro’s greater susceptibility to conceding. Cerro Largo is more efficient in chance conversion: they have a 15% conversion rate at home and 2.75 shots on target per game from 10.25 total shots, whereas Cerro posts only a 2% conversion and 2.0 shots on target from 12.75 attempts; despite similar attacking xG (1.26 vs 1.30), the visitors convert that into only 0.25 goals per away match. Form trends also favor the hosts: in the last 5 matches Cerro Largo has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (averaging 2 points per game), while Cerro in their last 5 have 2 wins and 3 losses and have lost four consecutive away matches. Considering the 1.5 vs 0.25 average goals, 1.0 vs 2.5 average goals conceded, better conversion (15% vs 2%) and the hosts’ positive points run, I assess the probabilities at approximately 70% for Cerro Largo, 18% for a draw and 12% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.2 pts / match - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Largo is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.6 goals / match - Cerro
Cerro Largo is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.6 goals / match - Cerro
Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Cerro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro Largo
Over / Under — Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Largo is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.75 pts / match - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Cerro Largo 2 - 1 - 1 Cerro. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 1:1 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Cerro?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 2, Cerro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Cerro?
Cerro Largo score 1.10 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.60. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Cerro Largo's matches and 40% of Cerro's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cerro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Cerro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Cerro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.