Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
Deportivo Maldonado clearly outperforms Cerro Largo in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have a disastrous home record with 0% wins and 100% losses in their home matches, without earning a single point. The visitors, on the other hand, show solid form with 4 wins this season and a positive goal difference (+5 overall, +1 away). Deportivo Maldonado has better offensive efficiency (1.67 goals per away game vs 0.5 for the hosts), a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 5%), and better xG stats (1.42 vs 1.2). The form of both teams from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). Considering all these factors, Deportivo Maldonado is the clear favorite for this match.
Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo played Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 0.83 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.67 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 33%, Deportivo Maldonado 50%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 33%, Deportivo Maldonado 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.32. Cerro Largo: 10.0 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 14.3.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 16-30 (2 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Maldonado clearly outperforms Cerro Largo in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have a disastrous home record with 0% wins and 100% losses in their home matches, without earning a single point. The visitors, on the other hand, show solid form with 4 wins this season and a positive goal difference (+5 overall, +1 away). Deportivo Maldonado has better offensive efficiency (1.67 goals per away game vs 0.5 for the hosts), a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 5%), and better xG stats (1.42 vs 1.2). The form of both teams from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). Considering all these factors, Deportivo Maldonado is the clear favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.67 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.83 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
Over / Under - Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 2.33 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 3:1 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Cerro Largo score 0.83 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.67. The Primera División average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Cerro Largo's matches and 50% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.