Cerro Largo vs Juventud: match statistics
Cerro Largo vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo played Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 7 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Juventud: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 1.05 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Juventud scores 1.14 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 32%, Juventud 64%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 36%, Juventud 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Juventud has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.26. Cerro Largo: 9.7 shots per match, Juventud: 9.8.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.68. Juventud: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Juventud: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro Largo has a clearly stronger home profile: they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded at home, while Juventud score 1.09 goals away and allow opponents 1.55. The hosts have won 40% of their home matches, compared with just 18% away wins for Juventud, and their home goal difference stands at +5, versus -5 for the visitors on the road. The quality of chances created also slightly favors Cerro Largo, whose average xG is 1.26, while Juventud’s defense allows an average of 1.66 xG. Over their last five matches, Cerro Largo have collected 8 points and conceded only 4 goals, whereas Juventud have earned 5 points, scored 4 goals, and allowed 6. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Juventud draw 36% of their away matches, but the hosts’ defensive solidity and greater attacking efficiency should tip the result in their favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal for BTTS - No comes from Cerro Largo’s current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams scored in only 20% of games, while Cerro Largo averaged just 0.8 goals per match. Juventud also averages only 0.8 goals per game over this period, with an average xG of 0.89, which limits the credibility of a scenario in which the visitors score. Both teams have kept a clean sheet in only 18% of their season matches, while Juventud’s high season BTTS rate of 73% means that goals at both ends remain a realistic possibility. However, recent results have been clearly less goal-heavy than the season data, and the combined average of 1.6 goals across the last five matches of each team slightly favors the BTTS - No outcome, meaning that at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams exceeded the 3.5-goal line in only 27% of their league matches, while 73% of their games featured no more than three goals. Current form also points towards a lower-scoring outcome: Cerro Largo scored and conceded 4 goals in their last five matches, while Juventud scored 4 and conceded 6. Their average xG over the last five appearances is just 1.35 for the hosts and 0.89 for the visitors, indicating limited attacking potential from both sides. Although Juventud's defence allows 1.66 xG per game over the season, the hosts average only 1.18 goals scored, making a total of between 1 and 3 goals the most likely outcome and favouring Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches. During this period, each side averaged just 0.8 goals in the first half, while matches featuring at least two goals before the break occurred in only 20% of cases for both teams. Cerro Largo have slightly better recent full-time form, taking 1.6 points per match in their last five games compared with Juventud’s 1.0, but both teams have scored just 0.8 goals per game over this period. Their second-half records are very similar: each side averaged 0.45 goals, while draws in this part of the game accounted for 45% in both cases, limiting the likelihood of a decisive outcome. The hosts’ advantage in the quality of chances created, with an xG of 1.48 compared with 1.20, supports a strong probability of the X/1 outcome, but the low attacking potential of both sides primarily strengthens X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1 pts / match - Juventud
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juventud is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.14 goals / match - Juventud
Cerro Largo is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.5 goals / match - Juventud
Cerro Largo scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Juventud scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
Over / Under - Juventud
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.55 pts / match - Juventud
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Juventud
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cerro Largo 2 - 1 - 0 Juventud. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Juventud?
The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 1:1 Juventud. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Juventud?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 2, Juventud won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Juventud?
Cerro Largo score 1.05 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.14. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Cerro Largo's matches and 64% of Juventud's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Juventud in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Juventud 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Juventud?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.