Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly balanced. Cerro Porteño displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and no losses at home, however their goal average (1.5 goals per match) is lower than that of the visitors. Nacional Asunción impresses in away matches with a 100% success rate (3 wins in 3 matches) and a higher average of goals scored (2 goals per match), which demonstrates their offensive strength. However, the key factor is that the hosts are yet to lose at their own stadium and have a 50% clean sheet rate, which could effectively stifle the visitors' offense. The xG data is similar for both teams, which further confirms the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account the recent form of both teams (Cerro with a series of draws, Nacional coming off a loss in their last match) and the historical difficulty of beating the hosts on their turf, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Porteño played Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Cerro Porteño: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Nacional Asunción: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Porteño scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Nacional Asunción scores 2.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Porteño 50%, Nacional Asunción 75%. Over 2.5: Cerro Porteño 25%, Nacional Asunción 75%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional Asunción has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.02. Cerro Porteño: 9.8 shots per match, Nacional Asunción: 11.5.
Match halves
Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.50. Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Cerro Porteño: 16-30 (2 goals). Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly balanced. Cerro Porteño displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and no losses at home, however their goal average (1.5 goals per match) is lower than that of the visitors. Nacional Asunción impresses in away matches with a 100% success rate (3 wins in 3 matches) and a higher average of goals scored (2 goals per match), which demonstrates their offensive strength. However, the key factor is that the hosts are yet to lose at their own stadium and have a 50% clean sheet rate, which could effectively stifle the visitors' offense. The xG data is similar for both teams, which further confirms the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account the recent form of both teams (Cerro with a series of draws, Nacional coming off a loss in their last match) and the historical difficulty of beating the hosts on their turf, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Porteño | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Asunción is 13% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 2.25 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 2.25 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Cerro Porteño is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Cerro Porteño scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Nacional Asunción scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.5 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.75 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Porteño
Nacional Asunción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Porteño | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Cerro Porteño 3 - 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?
The Division Profesional match finished Cerro Porteño 0:2 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Nacional Asunción?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 3, Nacional Asunción won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?
Cerro Porteño score 1.75 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 2.25. The Division Profesional average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 75% of Nacional Asunción's.
What form are Cerro Porteño and Nacional Asunción in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.