Paraguay - Division ProfesionalData current as of 13 September 2026

Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño: match statistics

135%(1.44)
X35%(4.15)
230%(6.00)

Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Cerro Porteño shows solid form with three wins in their last five matches overall and remains unbeaten at home, although their only home match ended in a draw. Sportivo Luqueño has a 100% away record this season (1 match, 1 win) along with a higher shot conversion rate (29% vs 11%) and an advantage in ball possession (63% vs 52%). However, the visitors show inconsistent overall form with a record of 2-0-3 in their last five matches. Considering the hosts' history of draws at home, the visitors' high shooting efficiency, and balanced xG statistics, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to playing in front of their home crowd.

Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cerro Porteño played Sportivo Luqueño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 2 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Cerro Porteño: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Sportivo Luqueño: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cerro Porteño scores 2.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.82 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro Porteño 100%, Sportivo Luqueño 100%. Over 2.5: Cerro Porteño 50%, Sportivo Luqueño 100%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.15. Cerro Porteño: 12.0 shots per match, Sportivo Luqueño: 10.5.

Match halves

Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.00. Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Cerro Porteño: 0-15 (1 goals). Sportivo Luqueño: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-0. Average goals 0.75, BTTS 25%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Cerro Porteño shows solid form with three wins in their last five matches overall and remains unbeaten at home, although their only home match ended in a draw. Sportivo Luqueño has a 100% away record this season (1 match, 1 win) along with a higher shot conversion rate (29% vs 11%) and an advantage in ball possession (63% vs 52%). However, the visitors show inconsistent overall form with a record of 2-0-3 in their last five matches. Considering the hosts' history of draws at home, the visitors' high shooting efficiency, and balanced xG statistics, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to playing in front of their home crowd.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
11Shots9
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
4Shots on target3
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1.13xG0.91
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
3Corners4
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
19Dangerous attacks16
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
21Fouls17
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
3Cards3
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
2.5Goals scored / match1.5
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
48%Average possession57%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
4.5Shots on target / match4
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match10.5
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
4.5Shots on target4
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
20.8%Shot conversion14.3%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
48%Possession57%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1.25xG for1.15
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1.55xG against0.92
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

Shooting quality

Cerro Porteño: Efficient finishingSportivo Luqueño: Efficient finishing
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.560.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cerro Porteño is 33% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.5 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño

Cerro Porteño
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 50%
Sportivo Luqueño
WL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cerro Porteño is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

2.5 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.5 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño

Cerro Porteño scoring profile: very strong

Cerro Porteño scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Sportivo Luqueño scoring profile: very strong

Sportivo Luqueño scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

5Goals scored (season)3
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
3Goals conceded (season)3
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
4Average goals in match3
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%2 goals50%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%3 goals0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%4 goals0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%2 goals50%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0%3 goals0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0%4 goals0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

100%
Sportivo Luqueño - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 2 matches
71%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%Scored in both halves0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
100%BTTS - last 5100%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Porteño is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

3 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.5 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño

Cerro Porteño - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing
Sportivo Luqueño - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

3Points per match (1st half)1.5
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1.5Average goals (1st half)1
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
100%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0%No goal before half-time50%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
2.5Average goals (2nd half)2
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
0%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño
50%No goal after half-time50%
Cerro PorteñoSportivo Luqueño

Cerro Porteño - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.5

Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro Porteño - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.000.50
Goals scored / match1.51.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.5
Average goals in match1.52.5
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Sportivo Luqueño - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.501.50
Goals scored / match0.51.0
Goals conceded / match0.51.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro Porteño
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Sportivo Luqueño
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-79%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro Porteño

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Sportivo Luqueño

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Cerro PorteñoLigaSportivo Luqueño
Average goals in match 4.002.82 3.00
Both teams scored 100%71% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%53% 100%
Clean sheets 0%18% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%71% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%76% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per match
71%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Cerro PorteñoSubstitutionOn: Gabriel Aguayo DíazOff: Juan Manuel Iturbe Arévalo
  2. Sportivo LuqueñoYellow cardAxel Balbuena Otazu
  3. Cerro PorteñoYellow cardCarlos Daniel Franco Santacruz
  4. Cerro PorteñoYellow cardFabricio Domínguez Huertas
  5. Sportivo LuqueñoYellow cardAldo Agustín Maiz Gill
  6. Sportivo LuqueñoSubstitutionOn: Alan Gustavo Pereira GuillénOff: Óscar Ramón Ruiz Roa
  7. Sportivo LuqueñoSubstitutionOn: Fernando BenitezOff: Víctor Sebastián Quintana Herrera
  8. Cerro PorteñoYellow cardGabriel Aguayo Díaz
  9. Sportivo LuqueñoYellow cardIván Gabriel Maggi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

David OjedaMatches officiated: 14
5.57Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins21%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Cerro Porteño 1 - 3 - 0 Sportivo Luqueño. Average goals 0.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.

Club Sportivo Luqueño
0 : 1
Club Cerro Porteño
Club Cerro Porteño
0 : 0
Club Sportivo Luqueño
Club Cerro Porteño
0 : 0
Club Sportivo Luqueño
Club Sportivo Luqueño
1 : 1
Club Cerro Porteño

FAQ

What was the result of Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño?

The Division Profesional match finished Cerro Porteño 2:0 Sportivo Luqueño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 0.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño?

Cerro Porteño score 2.50 goals per game on average and Sportivo Luqueño 1.50. The Division Profesional average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 100% of Sportivo Luqueño's.

What form are Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Sportivo Luqueño 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño?

The statistical background for Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.