Cerro vs Albion: match statistics
Cerro vs Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro played Albion in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Cerro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro scores 0.65 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Albion scores 1.39 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro 39%, Albion 57%. Over 2.5: Cerro 35%, Albion 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.21. Cerro: 10.7 shots per match, Albion: 9.2.
Match halves
Cerro: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.26. Albion: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). Albion: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro have improved their recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and conceding just 4 goals in that run, while Albion have recorded 1 win, scored 5 goals and conceded 6 over the same period. However, the hosts are inefficient at home: they average just 0.64 goals per game and have failed to score in 36% of their matches, although their defence allows only 0.64 goals per game. Albion average 1.00 goals away from home, have a better shot-conversion rate—11% compared with 6%—and have lost only 18% of such matches, which offsets their weaker recent run. With a similar quality of chances created by Cerro (xG 1.25) and Albion (xG 1.14), along with high draw rates for both teams, a closely contested draw in a low-scoring match appears the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS scenario does not have a clear edge, as Albion have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their matches, while Cerro have scored just 1.0 goal per game across their last five fixtures, with a low xG of 0.84. Both teams’ current attacking form is moderate: Cerro and Albion have each scored 5 goals in their last five outings, while the hosts recorded BTTS in only 40% of those matches. Albion’s season-long BTTS rate stands at 45%, below the league average of 51%, and they concede just 0.73 goals per game on average. Cerro have a high season BTTS rate of 67% and a poor clean-sheet rate of 17%, so an away goal remains realistic; however, the greater risk concerns the hosts scoring against Albion’s solid defence. Therefore, BTTS - No is the more convincing option, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score. This does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Albion clearly limits the number of goals in its matches: only 9% of games went over 3.5 goals, while 91% finished below that line. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.0 goal per game, with aggregate scorelines of 5:4 for Cerro and 5:6 for Albion, indicating a moderate attacking tempo. Cerro has a higher seasonal percentage of matches featuring at least 3 goals, at 75%, but its recent xG stands at just 0.84, while Albion generates an average of 1.10 xG. The projected 2.10 goals remains below the league average of 2.37, and the combination of current form and the visitors' defensive profile gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at full-time, as Albion were level at the break in 45% of their matches, compared with 33% for Cerro. Albion concede just 0.36 goals per match before half-time and kept a clean sheet in the first half in 64% of their appearances, limiting Cerro’s chances of building an early lead. The hosts are, however, in better current form: they have collected 9 points from their last 5 matches and conceded only 0.8 goals per game, while Albion won just 20% of such matches. The attacking forces remain closely matched, with average xG figures of 1.28 for Cerro and 1.14 for Albion, while both teams averaged 1.0 goal per game across their last five league fixtures. The combination of the visitors’ solid defence, a cautious start and balanced scoring potential most strongly supports an X/X outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro | Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Cerro · 1 pts / match - Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albion is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - Cerro · 1.39 goals / match - Albion
Albion is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Cerro · 1.09 goals / match - Albion
Cerro scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Albion scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro
Over / Under - Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Albion is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Cerro · 1.3 pts / match - Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro
Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro | Liga | Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.36 | ▲ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 68% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cerro 0 - 0 - 1 Albion. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro vs Albion?
The Primera División match finished Cerro 2:1 Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Albion?
Cerro score 0.65 goals per game on average and Albion 1.39. The Primera División average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Cerro's matches and 57% of Albion's.
What form are Cerro and Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro vs Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.