Cerro vs Central Español: match statistics
Cerro vs Central Español: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro play Central Español in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Central Español: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Central Español scores 1.35 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro 40%, Central Español 55%. Over 2.5: Cerro 35%, Central Español 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.21. Cerro: 11.4 shots per match, Central Español: 9.4.
Match halves
Cerro: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.30. Central Español: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). Central Español: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back an away win (Central Español) — they sit 3rd in the table vs Cerro’s 8th and have 3 wins in the last 5 matches, while Cerro has not won any of their last 5 (0-1-4). Central hold a clear attacking edge: 25 goals scored this season vs the hosts’ 9, 9 goals in their last 5 matches vs 3, and away goals per game of 1.38 for Central vs 0.63 for Cerro at home. Chance quality also favors the visitors — average shots 11.13 vs 9.88, shots on target 4.5 vs 4, conversion rate 12% vs 6% and shutout rate 13% vs 38% indicate Central are more clinical. The hosts’ defense is relatively solid at home (Cerro concede 0.75 goals per game and have average xG against 1.27), whereas Central concede 1.63 on the road with xG against 1.88, suggesting greater defensive exposure for the visitors. On balance I forecast a Central Español win — probabilities estimated at 65% for the away side, 20% for a draw and 15% for the home team.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Español is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cerro · 1.6 pts / match - Central Español
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Español is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Cerro · 1.35 goals / match - Central Español
Central Español is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Cerro · 1.25 goals / match - Central Español
Cerro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Central Español scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro
Over / Under — Central Español
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Central Español is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Cerro · 1.1 pts / match - Central Español
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro
Central Español
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro | Liga | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 73% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cerro 0 - 0 - 1 Central Español. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro vs Central Español?
The Primera División match finished Cerro 1:0 Central Español. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Central Español?
Cerro score 0.60 goals per game on average and Central Español 1.35. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Cerro's matches and 55% of Central Español's.
What form are Cerro and Central Español in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Central Español 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Central Español?
The statistical background for Cerro vs Central Español — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.