Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro play Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.71 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro 40%, Deportivo Maldonado 62%. Over 2.5: Cerro 35%, Deportivo Maldonado 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.32. Cerro: 11.4 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 11.7.
Match halves
Cerro: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.30. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
The favorites appear to be the visitors, Deportivo Maldonado. They have 21 goals scored this season versus 8 for Cerro, and on the road they average 1.43 goals per match while the hosts record only 0.71 goals per home match. Maldonado also show better shot conversion (conversion 13% vs 7%), a higher average of shots (11.43 vs 10) with the same average of shots on target 4.14 and greater possession (51% vs 40%). Cerro have a defensive edge at home — only 0.71 goals conceded on average and xG against 1.26 versus 1.43 goals conceded and xG against 1.35 for Maldonado away — which should limit the margin of defeat. Considering 1.4 points per game for the visitors in the last 5 matches versus 1.0 for the hosts, I forecast a Maldonado win, with a moderate risk of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cerro · 1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 185% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Cerro · 1.71 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Cerro · 1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro
Over / Under — Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 148% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Cerro · 1.86 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The Primera División match finished Cerro 0:1 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Cerro score 0.60 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.71. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Cerro's matches and 62% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The statistical background for Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.