Italy - Serie BOrogel Stadium-Dino ManuzziData current as of 16 October 2026

Cesena vs Avellino: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cesena vs Avellino: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cesena play Avellino in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi.

Current form

Cesena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Avellino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cesena scores 1.17 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Avellino scores 1.83 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cesena 83%, Avellino 67%. Over 2.5: Cesena 33%, Avellino 67%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Cesena has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.15. Cesena: 11.8 shots per match, Avellino: 10.5.

Match halves

Cesena: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Avellino: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Cesena: 16-30 (4 goals). Avellino: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.40)
(3.13)
(3.01)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.17Goals scored / match1.83
CesenaAvellino
1.33Goals conceded / match1.17
CesenaAvellino
46%Average possession46%
CesenaAvellino
2.83Shots on target / match4.17
CesenaAvellino

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.83Shots per match10.5
CesenaAvellino
2.83Shots on target4.17
CesenaAvellino
9.9%Shot conversion17.5%
CesenaAvellino
46%Possession46%
CesenaAvellino
1.22xG for1.15
CesenaAvellino
1.75xG against1.87
CesenaAvellino

Shooting quality

Cesena: BalancedAvellino: Counter-attacking
CesenaAvellino
Accuracy (shots on target)24%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Avellino is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Cesena · 2 pts / match - Avellino

Cesena
WDDDL
Season result split
17% W67% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-1
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 at home
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Avellino
WWDLW
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Avellino is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - Cesena · 1.83 goals / match - Avellino

Avellino is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Cesena · 1.17 goals / match - Avellino

Cesena scoring profile: very strong

Cesena scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Avellino scoring profile: very strong

Avellino scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

7Goals scored (season)11
CesenaAvellino
8Goals conceded (season)7
CesenaAvellino
2.5Average goals in match3
CesenaAvellino
6Goals scored (last 5)10
CesenaAvellino
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
CesenaAvellino

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
CesenaAvellino
33%2 goals33%
CesenaAvellino
0%3 goals33%
CesenaAvellino
0%4 goals17%
CesenaAvellino

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
CesenaAvellino
33%2 goals33%
CesenaAvellino
0%3 goals17%
CesenaAvellino
0%4 goals0%
CesenaAvellino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
CesenaAvellino
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CesenaAvellino
17%Scored in both halves17%
CesenaAvellino

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CesenaAvellino
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CesenaAvellino
80%BTTS - last 560%
CesenaAvellino

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
CesenaAvellino
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CesenaAvellino
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
CesenaAvellino

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
CesenaAvellino
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
CesenaAvellino
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
CesenaAvellino

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Avellino is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Cesena · 2.67 pts / match - Avellino

Cesena - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing
Avellino - half-time state
83% leading17% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)2.67
CesenaAvellino
0.83Goals scored (1st half)1.5
CesenaAvellino
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
CesenaAvellino
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.67
CesenaAvellino
50%Clean sheet before half-time83%
CesenaAvellino
33%No goal before half-time17%
CesenaAvellino

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)1
CesenaAvellino
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
CesenaAvellino
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1
CesenaAvellino
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.33
CesenaAvellino
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CesenaAvellino
67%No goal after half-time67%
CesenaAvellino

Cesena - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Avellino - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding60%

Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cesena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Avellino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.20
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+7-2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cesena
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Avellino
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cesena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Avellino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CesenaLigaAvellino
Average goals in match▼ 2.502.68▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 83%62%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%53%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 0%22%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%63%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%85%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cesena 1 - 0 - 1 Avellino. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Avellino
3 : 1
Cesena
Cesena
3 : 0
Avellino

FAQ

When do Cesena and Avellino play?

Cesena face Avellino on 18 October 2026 in Serie B at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cesena and Avellino?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cesena won 1, Avellino won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cesena vs Avellino?

Cesena score 1.17 goals per game on average and Avellino 1.83. The Serie B average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Cesena's matches and 67% of Avellino's.

What form are Cesena and Avellino in?

Over the last 5 games Cesena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Avellino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cesena vs Avellino?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cesena vs Avellino: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.