Cesena vs Spezia: match statistics
Cesena displays significantly better home form with a 42% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive efficiency advantage, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with a higher xG ratio (1.53 vs 1.32). Spezia is in a difficult situation, sitting 18th in the table with only a 17% away win rate and a negative goal difference (-5) in away matches. The visitors struggle to score, failing to find the net in 42% of away matches and averaging only 0.83 goals per game. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, Cesena holds a significant home advantage and better offensive statistics. Considering all the data, a home win is the most likely scenario, although Cesena's poor recent form (0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) and Spezia's defensive solidity (25% clean sheets) could lead to a tight encounter with the possibility of a draw.
Cesena vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cesena played Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Cesena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Spezia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cesena scores 1.28 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Spezia scores 0.80 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cesena 64%, Spezia 48%. Over 2.5: Cesena 56%, Spezia 32%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cesena has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.24. Cesena: 12.7 shots per match, Spezia: 10.6.
Match halves
Cesena: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64. Spezia: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Cesena: 31-45+ (11 goals). Spezia: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cesena displays significantly better home form with a 42% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive efficiency advantage, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with a higher xG ratio (1.53 vs 1.32). Spezia is in a difficult situation, sitting 18th in the table with only a 17% away win rate and a negative goal difference (-5) in away matches. The visitors struggle to score, failing to find the net in 42% of away matches and averaging only 0.83 goals per game. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, Cesena holds a significant home advantage and better offensive statistics. Considering all the data, a home win is the most likely scenario, although Cesena's poor recent form (0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) and Spezia's defensive solidity (25% clean sheets) could lead to a tight encounter with the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cesena | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spezia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Cesena · 1 pts / match - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Cesena · 0.8 goals / match - Spezia
Spezia is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Cesena · 1.28 goals / match - Spezia
Cesena scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Spezia scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cesena
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Cesena · 0.96 pts / match - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cesena
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cesena | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cesena 1 - 0 - 0 Spezia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cesena vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Cesena 2:3 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cesena vs Spezia?
Cesena score 1.28 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.80. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Cesena's matches and 48% of Spezia's.
What form are Cesena and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Cesena have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Spezia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cesena vs Spezia?
The statistical background for Cesena vs Spezia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.