Cesena vs Südtirol: match statistics
Cesena vs Südtirol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cesena play Südtirol in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 12:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cesena: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Südtirol: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cesena scores 1.18 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Südtirol scores 0.95 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cesena 61%, Südtirol 53%. Over 2.5: Cesena 53%, Südtirol 38%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Cesena: 13.1 shots per match, Südtirol: 12.5.
Match halves
Cesena: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61. Südtirol: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Cesena: 31-45+ (12 goals). Südtirol: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I forecast a home win (1) – Cesena has a stronger home attack: average 1.5 goals and xG 1.62 per match with 14.75 shots and 4.75 on target, while Südtirol away records only 1.06 goals and xG 1.35 with 11.31 shots and 3.56 on target. This season Cesena scored 41 goals versus the visitors' 34, and hosts win 38% of their home matches, whereas Südtirol win only 19% of away fixtures and draw as many as 56% of their games on the road. Additionally, Südtirol fail to score in 31% of away matches, and Cesena’s home games average 3.0 total goals versus 2.25 in the visitors’ away matches, which increases the likelihood of the hosts finding the net. Cesena’s defense is weaker this season (47 goals conceded; 1.5 per home match), while Südtirol concede 1.19 goals on average away, so there is a risk of the hosts’ defensive vulnerabilities being exploited. Considering the xG advantage, higher shot volume and the low ‘no goal’ rate for the hosts (13% at home), I price the chances at 55% for Cesena, 30% for a draw and 15% for Südtirol.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cesena | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Südtirol is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Cesena · 0.6 pts / match - Südtirol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Cesena · 0.95 goals / match - Südtirol
Südtirol is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Cesena · 1.2 goals / match - Südtirol
Cesena scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 25% (10 of 40 matches).
Südtirol scores in 60% of matches (24 of 40 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cesena
Over / Under — Südtirol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Cesena · 1.1 pts / match - Südtirol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cesena
Südtirol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cesena | Liga | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.66 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 53% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cesena 1 - 0 - 0 Südtirol. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cesena vs Südtirol?
The Serie B match finished Cesena 1:1 Südtirol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cesena vs Südtirol?
Cesena score 1.18 goals per game on average and Südtirol 0.95. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Cesena's matches and 53% of Südtirol's.
What form are Cesena and Südtirol in?
Over the last 5 games Cesena have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Südtirol 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cesena vs Südtirol?
The statistical background for Cesena vs Südtirol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.