Ceuta vs Burgos CF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ceuta play Burgos CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Ceuta: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Burgos CF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ceuta scores 1.21 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Burgos CF scores 1.14 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ceuta 55%, Burgos CF 38%. Over 2.5: Ceuta 55%, Burgos CF 31%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Ceuta has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.15. Ceuta: 10.5 shots per match, Burgos CF: 10.0.

Match halves

Ceuta: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50. Burgos CF: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Ceuta: 0-15 (11 goals). Burgos CF: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
CeutaBurgos CF
14Shots9
CeutaBurgos CF
5Shots on target1
CeutaBurgos CF
1.62xG0.94
CeutaBurgos CF
10Corners7
CeutaBurgos CF
54Dangerous attacks40
CeutaBurgos CF
21Fouls12
CeutaBurgos CF
5Cards3
CeutaBurgos CF

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.21Goals scored / match1.14
CeutaBurgos CF
1.5Goals conceded / match0.79
CeutaBurgos CF
51%Average possession46%
CeutaBurgos CF
3.69Shots on target / match3.14
CeutaBurgos CF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.5Shots per match10
CeutaBurgos CF
3.69Shots on target3.14
CeutaBurgos CF
11.6%Shot conversion11.4%
CeutaBurgos CF
51%Possession46%
CeutaBurgos CF
1.23xG for1.15
CeutaBurgos CF
1.49xG against1.33
CeutaBurgos CF

Shooting quality

Ceuta: BalancedBurgos CF: Balanced
CeutaBurgos CF
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Burgos CF is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Ceuta · 2.2 pts / match - Burgos CF

Ceuta
WDLWW
Season result split
40% W24% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-10-15
1.45 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Burgos CF
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
48% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-12-10
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-4-7
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ceuta is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Ceuta · 1.14 goals / match - Burgos CF

Burgos CF is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Ceuta · 0.79 goals / match - Burgos CF

Ceuta scoring profile: strong

Ceuta scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 45% (19 of 42 matches).

Burgos CF scoring profile: strong

Burgos CF scores in 67% of matches (28 of 42 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 42 matches).

51Goals scored (season)48
CeutaBurgos CF
63Goals conceded (season)33
CeutaBurgos CF
2.71Average goals in match1.93
CeutaBurgos CF
7Goals scored (last 5)4
CeutaBurgos CF
6Goals conceded (last 5)0
CeutaBurgos CF

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal67%
CeutaBurgos CF
36%2 goals29%
CeutaBurgos CF
12%3 goals12%
CeutaBurgos CF
0%4 goals5%
CeutaBurgos CF

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal55%
CeutaBurgos CF
43%2 goals19%
CeutaBurgos CF
21%3 goals5%
CeutaBurgos CF
12%4 goals0%
CeutaBurgos CF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time21%
CeutaBurgos CF
10%BTTS in both halves2%
CeutaBurgos CF
29%Scored in both halves19%
CeutaBurgos CF

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
CeutaBurgos CF
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
CeutaBurgos CF
60%BTTS - last 50%
CeutaBurgos CF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
CeutaBurgos CF
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CeutaBurgos CF
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
CeutaBurgos CF

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
CeutaBurgos CF
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
CeutaBurgos CF
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
CeutaBurgos CF

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ceuta is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Ceuta · 1.31 pts / match - Burgos CF

Ceuta - half-time state
36% leading33% draw31% trailing
Burgos CF - half-time state
24% leading60% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.31
CeutaBurgos CF
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.57
CeutaBurgos CF
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
CeutaBurgos CF
1.48Average goals (1st half)0.98
CeutaBurgos CF
48%Clean sheet before half-time62%
CeutaBurgos CF
40%No goal before half-time62%
CeutaBurgos CF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)1.52
CeutaBurgos CF
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
CeutaBurgos CF
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
CeutaBurgos CF
1.24Average goals (2nd half)0.95
CeutaBurgos CF
50%Clean sheet after half-time67%
CeutaBurgos CF
57%No goal after half-time52%
CeutaBurgos CF

Ceuta - second-half results

14% W64% R21% P
59
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Burgos CF - second-half results

36% W45% R19% P
55
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ceuta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Burgos CF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.60.2
1 goal40%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ceuta
ScoredConceded
11
8
0-15
10
11
16-30
9
13
31-45
6
13
46-60
4
6
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Burgos CF
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
13
8
31-45
5
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ceuta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+11.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Burgos CF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

CeutaLigaBurgos CF
Average goals in match 2.712.63 1.93
Both teams scored 55%56% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%50% 31%
Clean sheets 29%26% 45%
Goal before half-time 81%68% 55%
Goal after half-time 60%75% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ceuta 0 - 1 - 0 Burgos CF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Ceuta vs Burgos CF?

The Segunda División match finished Ceuta 1:0 Burgos CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Burgos CF?

Ceuta score 1.21 goals per game on average and Burgos CF 1.14. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ceuta's matches and 38% of Burgos CF's.

What form are Ceuta and Burgos CF in?

Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Burgos CF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Burgos CF?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ceuta vs Burgos CF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.