Ceuta vs Burgos CF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ceuta played Burgos CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Ceuta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Burgos CF: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ceuta scores 1.07 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Burgos CF scores 1.40 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ceuta 40%, Burgos CF 53%. Over 2.5: Ceuta 47%, Burgos CF 47%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Ceuta has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.14. Ceuta: 10.0 shots per match, Burgos CF: 9.7.

Match halves

Ceuta: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.53. Burgos CF: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Ceuta: 0-15 (5 goals). Burgos CF: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Segunda División: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
CeutaBurgos CF
14Shots9
CeutaBurgos CF
5Shots on target1
CeutaBurgos CF
1.62xG0.94
CeutaBurgos CF
10Corners7
CeutaBurgos CF
54Dangerous attacks40
CeutaBurgos CF
21Fouls12
CeutaBurgos CF
5Cards3
CeutaBurgos CF

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.07Goals scored / match1.4
CeutaBurgos CF
1.33Goals conceded / match0.93
CeutaBurgos CF
52%Average possession48%
CeutaBurgos CF
3.13Shots on target / match3
CeutaBurgos CF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match9.67
CeutaBurgos CF
3.13Shots on target3
CeutaBurgos CF
10.7%Shot conversion14.5%
CeutaBurgos CF
52%Possession48%
CeutaBurgos CF
1.17xG for1.14
CeutaBurgos CF
1.37xG against1.28
CeutaBurgos CF

Shooting quality

Ceuta: BalancedBurgos CF: Efficient finishing
CeutaBurgos CF
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Burgos CF is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Ceuta · 2 pts / match - Burgos CF

Ceuta
WLLLW
Season result split
40% W20% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-6
1.40 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Burgos CF
WWDWL
Season result split
47% W27% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Burgos CF is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.07 goals / match - Ceuta · 1.4 goals / match - Burgos CF

Burgos CF is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Ceuta · 0.93 goals / match - Burgos CF

Ceuta scoring profile: strong

Ceuta scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).

Burgos CF scoring profile: strong

Burgos CF scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

16Goals scored (season)21
CeutaBurgos CF
20Goals conceded (season)14
CeutaBurgos CF
2.4Average goals in match2.33
CeutaBurgos CF
6Goals scored (last 5)5
CeutaBurgos CF
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
CeutaBurgos CF

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
CeutaBurgos CF
27%2 goals40%
CeutaBurgos CF
13%3 goals20%
CeutaBurgos CF
0%4 goals7%
CeutaBurgos CF

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal67%
CeutaBurgos CF
47%2 goals27%
CeutaBurgos CF
20%3 goals0%
CeutaBurgos CF
7%4 goals0%
CeutaBurgos CF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
CeutaBurgos CF
13%BTTS in both halves0%
CeutaBurgos CF
20%Scored in both halves27%
CeutaBurgos CF

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
CeutaBurgos CF
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CeutaBurgos CF
60%BTTS - last 520%
CeutaBurgos CF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
CeutaBurgos CF
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CeutaBurgos CF
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
CeutaBurgos CF

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
CeutaBurgos CF
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
CeutaBurgos CF
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
CeutaBurgos CF

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Burgos CF is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / match - Ceuta · 1.33 pts / match - Burgos CF

Ceuta - half-time state
27% leading27% draw47% trailing
Burgos CF - half-time state
27% leading53% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)1.33
CeutaBurgos CF
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.67
CeutaBurgos CF
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
CeutaBurgos CF
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.07
CeutaBurgos CF
47%Clean sheet before half-time60%
CeutaBurgos CF
53%No goal before half-time67%
CeutaBurgos CF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.47
CeutaBurgos CF
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
CeutaBurgos CF
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
CeutaBurgos CF
1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.27
CeutaBurgos CF
53%Clean sheet after half-time53%
CeutaBurgos CF
60%No goal after half-time40%
CeutaBurgos CF

Ceuta - second-half results

20% W67% R13% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Burgos CF - second-half results

33% W47% R20% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ceuta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Burgos CF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ceuta
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
1
5
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Burgos CF
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
7
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ceuta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Burgos CF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

CeutaLigaBurgos CF
Average goals in match 2.402.57 2.33
Both teams scored 40%54% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%49% 47%
Clean sheets 40%28% 33%
Goal before half-time 80%67% 53%
Goal after half-time 53%72% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CeutaYellow cardAnuar Mohamed Tuhami
  2. Burgos CFYellow cardGregorio Sierra Pérez
  3. Burgos CFYellow cardMiguel Ángel Atienza Villa
  4. Burgos CFSubstitutionOn: Fermin Garcia MurilloOff: Iñigo Córdoba Kerejeta
  5. Burgos CFYellow cardFlorian Miguel
  6. CeutaYellow cardSamuel Obeng Gyabaa
  7. CeutaSubstitutionOn: Carlos Redruello NimoOff: Kialy Abdoul Kone
  8. CeutaYellow cardCarlos Redruello Nimo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Salvador Lax FrancoMatches officiated: 18
4.83Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins28%Draws22%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Ceuta vs Burgos CF?

The Segunda División match finished Ceuta 1:0 Burgos CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Burgos CF?

Ceuta score 1.07 goals per game on average and Burgos CF 1.40. The Segunda División average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ceuta's matches and 53% of Burgos CF's.

What form are Ceuta and Burgos CF in?

Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Burgos CF 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Burgos CF?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ceuta vs Burgos CF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.